Cayuela A, Cayuela L, Ruiz-Romero M V, Rodríguez-Domínguez S, Lendínez-Cano G, Bachiller-Burgos J
Unidad de Gestión Clínica de Salud Pública, Prevención, Promoción y Vigilancia de la Salud, Hospital de Valme, Área de Gestión Sanitaria Sur de Sevilla, Sevilla, España.
Facultad de Medicina, Universidad de Sevilla, Sevilla, España.
Actas Urol Esp. 2015 Dec;39(10):612-9. doi: 10.1016/j.acuro.2015.06.001. Epub 2015 Jul 9.
To describe the evolution of prostate cancer mortality in Spain during the period 1980-2013.
The prostate cancer mortality data and population data needed to calculate the indicators were provided by the National Institute of Statistics. We calculated the specific rates by age group, raw and standardised globally using the direct method (European standard population). The rates are expressed for 100,000 person-years. For the analysis of trends in the rates, we used joinpoint regression models.
The overall rates adjusted for age in Spain decreased from 21.7 to 15.4 deaths per 100,000 men-years between the starting and ending date of the study period (annual percentage change: -.9%; P<.05). The joinpoint analysis reflects 2 periods: 1980-1998 (.7% annual increase; P<.05) and 1998-2013, during which the rates decreased significantly (-3%; P<.05). Except for the autonomous cities of Ceuta and Melilla where the rates remained stable over the course of the study period, the communities showed 1 or 2 points of inflection in the trends, and all had a final period with a reduction in the rates (except for Galicia and Catalonia, where the rates stabilised in 2008-2013).
The decline in prostate cancer mortality in Spain appears to have stopped in Galicia and Catalonia.
描述1980 - 2013年期间西班牙前列腺癌死亡率的演变情况。
计算指标所需的前列腺癌死亡率数据和人口数据由国家统计局提供。我们按年龄组计算了特定率,采用直接法(欧洲标准人口)进行全球粗算和标准化计算。率以每10万人年表示。为分析率的趋势,我们使用了连接点回归模型。
在研究期的起始和结束日期之间,西班牙经年龄调整的总体率从每10万男性年21.7例死亡降至15.4例(年百分比变化:-0.9%;P<0.05)。连接点分析反映出两个时期:1980 - 1998年(年增长率0.7%;P<0.05)和1998 - 2013年,在此期间率显著下降(-3%;P<0.05)。除休达和梅利利亚自治区在研究期间率保持稳定外,各自治区的趋势显示出1或2个拐点,且所有地区在最后阶段率都有所下降(加利西亚和加泰罗尼亚除外,其率在2008 - 2013年稳定)。
西班牙前列腺癌死亡率的下降在加利西亚和加泰罗尼亚似乎已经停止。