Raffetti Elena, Portolani Nazario, Molfino Sarah, Baiocchi Gian Luca, Limina Rosa Maria, Caccamo Giovanni, Lamera Rossella, Donato Francesco
Unit of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Public Health, Department of Medical and Surgical Specialities, Radiological Sciences and Public Health, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Surgical Clinic, Department of Clinical and Experimental Sciences, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy.
Dig Liver Dis. 2015 Nov;47(11):950-6. doi: 10.1016/j.dld.2015.07.010. Epub 2015 Jul 28.
Aim of this study was to investigate the role of aetiology, diabetes, tobacco smoking and hypertension in the survival of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma.
A prospective cohort of 552 patients (81.5% males, mean age 64.4 years) first diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma in 1995-2001 in Brescia, Italy, was retrospectively analyzed. Data on the presence of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, heavy alcohol intake and tobacco smoking were obtained from patients' clinical charts or interviews. Survival analysis was performed using univariate and multivariate methods (Cox proportional hazards model).
33% had a history of heavy alcohol intake, 24.3% had viral hepatitis and 33.5% had both aetiologies. Diabetes, hypertension and tobacco smoking were found in 29.9%, 37.9% and 35.9%, respectively. During follow-up (median 19.9 months), the median survival was 19.9 (95% confidence interval [CI] 16.7-22.8) months. Using multivariate Cox regression models, alcohol-related liver disease and diabetes were found to be associated with mortality, with hazard ratios of 1.32 (95% CI 0.99-1.75) and 1.25 (95% CI 1.02-1.54), respectively. Hypertension and smoking habit did not influence survival.
Alcohol aetiology and the presence of diabetes were positively associated with patient mortality with hepatocellular carcinoma, whereas tobacco smoking and hypertension were not.
本研究旨在调查病因、糖尿病、吸烟和高血压在肝细胞癌患者生存中的作用。
对1995年至2001年在意大利布雷西亚首次诊断为肝细胞癌的552例患者(81.5%为男性,平均年龄64.4岁)的前瞻性队列进行回顾性分析。通过患者临床病历或访谈获取糖尿病、高血压、大量饮酒和吸烟情况的数据。采用单因素和多因素方法(Cox比例风险模型)进行生存分析。
33%有大量饮酒史,24.3%有病毒性肝炎,33.5%有这两种病因。糖尿病、高血压和吸烟的发生率分别为29.9%、37.9%和35.9%。在随访期间(中位时间19.9个月),中位生存期为19.9(95%置信区间[CI]16.7 - 22.8)个月。使用多因素Cox回归模型发现,酒精性肝病和糖尿病与死亡率相关,风险比分别为1.32(95%CI 0.99 - 1.75)和1.25(95%CI 1.02 - 1.54)。高血压和吸烟习惯不影响生存。
酒精病因和糖尿病的存在与肝细胞癌患者死亡率呈正相关,而吸烟和高血压则不然。