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[切尔诺贝利核事故前后克罗地亚两个社区先天性异常的发生率]

[Incidence of congenital anomalies in 2 communities in Croatia before and after the Chernobyl nuclear accident].

作者信息

Ligutić I, Beer Z, Modrusan-Mozetic Z, Svel I

出版信息

Lijec Vjesn. 1989 Sep-Oct;111(9-10):317-25.

PMID:2633008
Abstract

The Institute for Medical Protection of Mothers and Children, being regional centre of European registry of congenital malformations (EUROCAT) since 1982, registers congenital anomalies in municipals of Varazdin and Rijeka. Following the nuclear disaster of Chernobyl, there were numerous articles published mainly in daily newspapers, pointing to the increased number of malformations, particularly to Down's syndrome, due to additional irradiation imposed on population. Through this study we wanted to find out whether in Varazdin and Rijeka, following the Chernobyl's accident, there has been any increase of congenital anomalies and whether our regional and EUROCAT registry have been adequate to find out genetic effects of small doses of ionizing radiation. The total incidence of registered congenital anomalies in Varazdin and Rijeka in previous four-year period, amounted to 12.97%, while following Chernobyl, it amounted to 12.7%. Not even nine marker malformations, including Down's syndrome, show any statistically significant increased number of malformations, a year after this nuclear accident. In 18 EUROCAT registries, on almost half a million of newly born children and foetuses, conceived before and after May 1, 1986, the frequency of Down's syndrome and congenital malformations of central nervous system and eyes has been compared. There have been no important differences between two compared groups, and the rate of Down's syndrome was 1.26% before, and 0.91% after the accident. Anticipated stochastic genetic effects of measured and estimated additional doses of radiation imposed to our and Western European populations are too small to be found out neither by regional nor by EUROCAT registries.

摘要

自1982年起,母婴医学保护研究所作为欧洲先天性畸形登记处(EUROCAT)的区域中心,负责登记瓦拉日丁市和里耶卡市的先天性异常情况。切尔诺贝利核灾难发生后,主要在日报上发表了大量文章,指出由于人群受到额外辐射,畸形数量增加,尤其是唐氏综合征。通过这项研究,我们想弄清楚在切尔诺贝利事故之后,瓦拉日丁市和里耶卡市的先天性异常情况是否有所增加,以及我们的区域登记处和EUROCAT登记处是否足以发现小剂量电离辐射的遗传效应。在之前的四年里,瓦拉日丁市和里耶卡市登记的先天性异常总发病率为12.97%,而在切尔诺贝利事故之后,这一数字为12.7%。即使是包括唐氏综合征在内的九种标志性畸形,在这次核事故发生一年后,也没有显示出畸形数量有任何统计学上的显著增加。在18个EUROCAT登记处,对1986年5月1日前后出生的近50万新生儿和胎儿进行了比较,比较了唐氏综合征以及中枢神经系统和眼睛先天性畸形的发生率。两个比较组之间没有重要差异,事故前唐氏综合征的发生率为1.26%,事故后为0.91%。对我们和西欧人群所受测量和估计的额外辐射剂量预期的随机遗传效应太小,无论是区域登记处还是EUROCAT登记处都无法发现。

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