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物质使用障碍、精神疾病与出狱后的死亡率:一项全国性纵向队列研究

Substance use disorders, psychiatric disorders, and mortality after release from prison: a nationwide longitudinal cohort study.

作者信息

Chang Zheng, Lichtenstein Paul, Larsson Henrik, Fazel Seena

机构信息

Department of Psychiatry, Warneford Hospital, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK; Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.

出版信息

Lancet Psychiatry. 2015 May;2(5):422-430. doi: 10.1016/S2215-0366(15)00088-7. Epub 2015 Apr 28.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

High mortality rates have been reported in people released from prison compared with the general population. However, few studies have investigated potential risk factors associated with these high rates, especially psychiatric determinants. We aimed to investigate the association between psychiatric disorders and mortality in people released from prison in Sweden.

METHODS

We studied all people who were imprisoned since Jan 1, 2000, and released before Dec 31, 2009, in Sweden for risks of all-cause and external-cause (accidents, suicide, homicide) mortality after prison release. We obtained data for substance use disorders and other psychiatric disorders, and criminological and sociodemographic factors from population-based registers. We calculated hazard ratios (HRs) by Cox regression, and then used them to calculate population attributable fractions for post-release mortality. To control for potential familial confounding, we compared individuals in the study with siblings who were also released from prison, but without psychiatric disorders. We tested whether any independent risk factors improved the prediction of mortality beyond age, sex, and criminal history.

FINDINGS

We identified 47,326 individuals who were imprisoned. During a median follow-up time of 5·1 years (IQR 2·6-7·5), we recorded 2874 (6%) deaths after release from prison. The overall all-cause mortality rate was 1205 deaths per 100,000 person-years. Substance use disorders significantly increased the rate of all-cause mortality (alcohol use: adjusted HR 1·62, 95% CI 1·48-1·77; drug use: 1·67, 1·53-1·83), and the association was independent of sociodemographic, criminological, and familial factors. We identified no strong evidence that other psychiatric disorders increased mortality after we controlled for potential confounders. In people released from prison, 925 (34%) of all-cause deaths in men and 85 (50%) in women were potentially attributable to substance use disorders. Substance use disorders were also an independent determinant of external-cause mortality, with population attributable fraction estimates at 42% in men and 70% in women. Substance use disorders significantly improved the prediction of external-cause mortality, in addition to sociodemographic and criminological factors.

INTERPRETATION

Interventions to address substance use disorders could substantially decrease the burden of excess mortality in people released from prison, but might need to be provided beyond the immediate period after release.

FUNDING

Wellcome Trust, Swedish Research Council, and the Swedish Research Council for Health, Working Life and Welfare.

摘要

背景

与普通人群相比,出狱人员的死亡率较高。然而,很少有研究调查与这些高死亡率相关的潜在风险因素,尤其是精神方面的决定因素。我们旨在调查瑞典出狱人员中精神障碍与死亡率之间的关联。

方法

我们研究了2000年1月1日至2009年12月31日期间在瑞典入狱并随后获释的所有人,以了解其出狱后全因死亡率和外部原因(事故、自杀、他杀)死亡率的风险。我们从基于人群的登记册中获取了物质使用障碍和其他精神障碍以及犯罪学和社会人口学因素的数据。我们通过Cox回归计算风险比(HRs),然后用它们来计算出狱后死亡率的人群归因分数。为了控制潜在的家族混杂因素,我们将研究中的个体与同样出狱但无精神障碍的兄弟姐妹进行了比较。我们测试了除年龄、性别和犯罪史之外,是否有任何独立风险因素能改善对死亡率的预测。

结果

我们识别出47326名入狱人员。在中位随访时间5.1年(四分位间距2.6 - 7.5年)内,我们记录到2874人(6%)出狱后死亡。全因死亡率总体为每10万人年1205例死亡。物质使用障碍显著增加了全因死亡率(酒精使用:调整后HR 1.62,95%CI 1.48 - 1.77;药物使用:1.67,1.53 - 1.83),且该关联独立于社会人口学、犯罪学和家族因素。在我们控制了潜在混杂因素后,没有发现有力证据表明其他精神障碍会增加死亡率。在出狱人员中,男性全因死亡的925例(34%)和女性的85例(50%)可能归因于物质使用障碍。物质使用障碍也是外部原因死亡率的一个独立决定因素,男性和女性的人群归因分数估计分别为42%和70%。除社会人口学和犯罪学因素外,物质使用障碍显著改善了对外部原因死亡率的预测。

解读

针对物质使用障碍的干预措施可大幅降低出狱人员的超额死亡负担,但可能需要在出狱后的近期之外提供。

资金来源

惠康信托基金会、瑞典研究理事会以及瑞典健康、工作生活与福利研究理事会。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/ac56/4698628/cd2ac4632e15/gr1.jpg

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