Parks Tom, Kado Joseph, Miller Anne E, Ward Brenton, Heenan Rachel, Colquhoun Samantha M, Bärnighausen Till W, Mirabel Mariana, Bloom David E, Bailey Robin L, Tukana Isimeli N, Steer Andrew C
University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom; London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
Fiji Islands Ministry of Health, Suva, Fiji.
PLoS Negl Trop Dis. 2015 Sep 15;9(9):e0004033. doi: 10.1371/journal.pntd.0004033. eCollection 2015.
Rheumatic heart disease (RHD) is considered a major public health problem in developing countries, although scarce data are available to substantiate this. Here we quantify mortality from RHD in Fiji during 2008-2012 in people aged 5-69 years.
Using 1,773,999 records derived from multiple sources of routine clinical and administrative data, we used probabilistic record-linkage to define a cohort of 2,619 persons diagnosed with RHD, observed for all-cause mortality over 11,538 person-years. Using relative survival methods, we estimated there were 378 RHD-attributable deaths, almost half of which occurred before age 40 years. Using census data as the denominator, we calculated there were 9.9 deaths (95% CI 9.8-10.0) and 331 years of life-lost (YLL, 95% CI 330.4-331.5) due to RHD per 100,000 person-years, standardised to the portion of the WHO World Standard Population aged 0-69 years. Valuing life using Fiji's per-capita gross domestic product, we estimated these deaths cost United States Dollar $6,077,431 annually. Compared to vital registration data for 2011-2012, we calculated there were 1.6-times more RHD-attributable deaths than the number reported, and found our estimate of RHD mortality exceeded all but the five leading reported causes of premature death, based on collapsed underlying cause-of-death diagnoses.
Rheumatic heart disease is a leading cause of premature death as well as an important economic burden in this setting. Age-standardised death rates are more than twice those reported in current global estimates. Linkage of routine data provides an efficient tool to better define the epidemiology of neglected diseases.
风湿性心脏病(RHD)被认为是发展中国家的一个主要公共卫生问题,尽管缺乏数据来证实这一点。在此,我们对2008 - 2012年斐济5至69岁人群中风湿性心脏病导致的死亡率进行了量化。
利用从多个常规临床和行政数据来源获取的1,773,999条记录,我们采用概率性记录链接法确定了一个由2619名被诊断为风湿性心脏病的人组成的队列,对其进行了11538人年的全因死亡率观察。使用相对生存方法,我们估计有378例可归因于风湿性心脏病的死亡,其中近一半发生在40岁之前。以人口普查数据为分母,我们计算出每10万人年因风湿性心脏病导致9.9例死亡(95%可信区间9.8 - 10.0)和331年生命损失(YLL,95%可信区间330.4 - 331.5),按世界卫生组织世界标准人口中0至69岁部分进行标准化。使用斐济的人均国内生产总值对生命进行估值,我们估计这些死亡每年造成6,077,431美元的损失。与2011 - 2012年的生命登记数据相比,我们计算出可归因于风湿性心脏病的死亡人数比报告的数字多1.6倍,并且发现我们对风湿性心脏病死亡率的估计超过了除五大主要报告的过早死亡原因外的所有原因,这是基于死因诊断的合并底层原因得出的。
在这种情况下,风湿性心脏病是过早死亡的主要原因以及一项重要的经济负担。年龄标准化死亡率是当前全球估计数报告的两倍多。常规数据的链接提供了一个有效的工具,能更好地界定被忽视疾病的流行病学情况。