Ma Yucheng, Wang Qing, Yang Jiayin, Yan Lunan
Department of Liver Transplantation, West China Hospital of Sichuan University, Chengdu, China.
PLoS One. 2015 Sep 17;10(9):e0136604. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0136604. eCollection 2015.
In order to provide a good match between donor and recipient in liver transplantation, four scoring systems [the product of donor age and Model for End-stage Liver Disease score (D-MELD), the score to predict survival outcomes following liver transplantation (SOFT), the balance of risk score (BAR), and the transplant risk index (TRI)] based on both donor and recipient parameters were designed. This study was conducted to evaluate the performance of the four scores in living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) and compare them with the MELD score.
The clinical data of 249 adult patients undergoing LDLT in our center were retrospectively evaluated. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) of each score were calculated and compared at 1-, 3-, 6-month and 1-year after LDLT.
The BAR at 1-, 3-, 6-month and 1-year after LDLT and the D-MELD and TRI at 1-, 3- and 6-month after LDLT showed acceptable performances in the prediction of survival (AUC>0.6), while the SOFT showed poor discrimination at 6-month after LDLT (AUC = 0.569). In addition, the D-MELD and BAR displayed positive correlations with the length of ICU stay (D-MELD, p = 0.025; BAR, p = 0.022). The SOFT was correlated with the time of mechanical ventilation (p = 0.022).
The D-MELD, BAR and TRI provided acceptable performance in predicting survival after LDLT. However, even though these scoring systems were based on both donor and recipient parameters, only the BAR provided better performance than the MELD in predicting 1-year survival after LDLT.
为了在肝移植中实现供体与受体的良好匹配,设计了四种基于供体和受体参数的评分系统[供体年龄与终末期肝病模型评分的乘积(D-MELD)、预测肝移植后生存结局的评分(SOFT)、风险平衡评分(BAR)和移植风险指数(TRI)]。本研究旨在评估这四种评分在活体肝移植(LDLT)中的性能,并将它们与MELD评分进行比较。
回顾性评估了在本中心接受LDLT的249例成年患者的临床资料。计算并比较了LDLT后1个月、3个月、6个月和1年时各评分的受试者工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)。
LDLT后1个月、3个月、6个月和1年时的BAR以及LDLT后1个月、3个月和6个月时的D-MELD和TRI在生存预测方面表现可接受(AUC>0.6),而SOFT在LDLT后6个月时鉴别能力较差(AUC = 0.569)。此外,D-MELD和BAR与ICU住院时间呈正相关(D-MELD,p = 0.025;BAR,p = 0.022)。SOFT与机械通气时间相关(p = 0.022)。
D-MELD、BAR和TRI在预测LDLT后的生存方面表现可接受。然而,尽管这些评分系统基于供体和受体参数,但只有BAR在预测LDLT后1年生存方面比MELD表现更好。