Brown Patrick J, Roose Steven P, Zhang Jun, Wall Melanie, Rutherford Bret R, Ayonayon Hilsa N, Butters Meryl A, Harris Tamara, Newman Anne B, Satterfield Suzanne, Simonsick Eleanor M, Yaffe Kristine
Division of Geriatric Psychiatry, New York State Psychiatric Institute, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons. and
Division of Geriatric Psychiatry, New York State Psychiatric Institute, Columbia University College of Physicians and Surgeons. and.
J Gerontol A Biol Sci Med Sci. 2016 Feb;71(2):221-7. doi: 10.1093/gerona/glv156. Epub 2015 Sep 20.
Inflammation, slow gait, and depression individually are associated with mortality, yet little is known about the trajectories of these measures, their interrelationships, or their collective impact on mortality.
Longitudinal latent class analysis was used to evaluate trajectories of depression (Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression ≥ 10), slow gait (<1.0 m/s), and elevated inflammation (interleukin 6 > 3.2 pg/mL) using data from the Health Aging and Body Composition Study. Logistic regression was used to identify their associations with mortality.
For each outcome, low-probability (n inflammation = 1,656, n slow gait = 1,471, n depression = 1,458), increasing-probability (n inflammation = 847, n slow gait = 880, n depression = 1,062), and consistently high-probability (n inflammation = 572, n slow gait = 724, n depression = 555) trajectories were identified, with 22% of all participants classified as having increasing or consistently high-probability trajectories on inflammation, slow gait, and depression (meaning probability of impairment on each outcome increased from low to moderate/high or remained high over 10 years). Trajectories of slow gait were associated with inflammation (r = .40, p < .001) and depression (r = .49, p < .001). Although worsening trajectories of inflammation were independently associated with mortality (p < .001), the association between worsening trajectories of slow gait and mortality was only present in participants with worsening depression trajectories (p < .01). Participants with increasing/consistently high trajectories of depression and consistently high trajectories of inflammation and slow gait (n = 247) have an adjusted-morality rate of 85.2%, greater than all other classification permutations.
Comprehensive assessment of older adults is warranted for the development of treatment strategies targeting a high-mortality risk phenotype consisting of inflammation, depression, and slow gait speed.
炎症、步态缓慢和抑郁各自都与死亡率相关,但对于这些指标的变化轨迹、它们之间的相互关系或它们对死亡率的综合影响,我们知之甚少。
利用健康、衰老和身体成分研究的数据,采用纵向潜在类别分析来评估抑郁(流行病学研究中心抑郁量表得分≥10)、步态缓慢(<1.0米/秒)和炎症指标升高(白细胞介素6>3.2皮克/毫升)的变化轨迹。采用逻辑回归分析来确定它们与死亡率的关联。
对于每个结局指标,均识别出低概率(炎症指标n = 1656,步态缓慢n = 1471,抑郁n = 1458)、概率增加(炎症指标n = 847,步态缓慢n = 880,抑郁n = 1062)和持续高概率(炎症指标n = 572,步态缓慢n = 724,抑郁n = 555)的变化轨迹,22%的参与者被归类为在炎症、步态缓慢和抑郁方面具有概率增加或持续高概率的变化轨迹(即每个结局指标出现损害的概率在10年内从低增加到中度/高度或保持高位)。步态缓慢的变化轨迹与炎症(r = 0.40,p < 0.001)和抑郁(r = 0.49,p < 0.001)相关。虽然炎症指标恶化的变化轨迹与死亡率独立相关(p < 0.001),但步态缓慢恶化的变化轨迹与死亡率之间的关联仅在抑郁变化轨迹恶化的参与者中存在(p < 0.01)。抑郁变化轨迹增加/持续高概率且炎症和步态缓慢变化轨迹持续高概率的参与者(n = 247)的校正死亡率为8