Scherer Michael, Fell James C, Thomas Sue, Voas Robert B
a Pacific Institute for Research and Evaluation , Calverton , Maryland.
Traffic Inj Prev. 2015;16 Suppl 2(0 2):S59-65. doi: 10.1080/15389588.2015.1064909.
In this study, we aimed to determine whether three minimum legal drinking age 21 (MLDA-21) laws-dram shop liability, responsible beverage service (RBS) training, and state control of alcohol sales-have had an impact on underage drinking and driving fatal crashes using annual state-level data, and compared states with strong laws to those with weak laws to examine their effect on beer consumption and fatal crash ratios.
Using the Fatality Analysis Reporting System, we calculated the ratio of drinking to nondrinking drivers under age 21 involved in fatal crashes as our key outcome measure. We used structural equation modeling to evaluate the three MLDA-21 laws. We controlled for covariates known to impact fatal crashes including: 17 additional MLDA-21 laws; administrative license revocation; blood alcohol concentration limits of.08 and.10 for driving; seat belt laws; sobriety checkpoint frequency; unemployment rates; and vehicle miles traveled. Outcome variables, in addition to the fatal crash ratios of drinking to nondrinking drivers under age 21 included state per capita beer consumption.
Dram shop liability laws were associated with a 2.4% total effect decrease (direct effects: β =.019, p =.018). Similarly, RBS training laws were associated with a 3.6% total effect decrease (direct effect: β =.048, p =.001) in the ratio of drinking to nondrinking drivers under age 21 involved in fatal crashes. There was a significant relationship between dram shop liability law strength and per capita beer consumption, F (4, 1528) = 24.32, p <.001, partial η(2) =.016, showing states with strong dram shop liability laws (Mean (M) = 1.276) averaging significantly lower per capita beer consumption than states with weak laws (M = 1.340).
Dram shop liability laws and RBS laws were both associated with significantly reduced per capita beer consumption and fatal crash ratios. In practical terms, this means that dram shop liability laws are currently associated with saving an estimated 64 lives in the 45 jurisdictions that currently have the law. If the remaining 6 states adopted the dram shop law, an additional 9 lives could potentially be saved annually. Similarly, RBS training laws are associated with saving an estimated 83 lives in the 37 jurisdictions that currently have the laws. If the remaining 14 states adopted these RBS training laws, we estimate that an additional 28 lives could potentially be saved.
在本研究中,我们旨在利用年度州级数据确定三项法定最低饮酒年龄21岁(MLDA - 21)法律——酒馆责任法、负责任的酒水服务(RBS)培训法以及酒精销售的州级管控法——是否对未成年人饮酒及驾车致死事故产生了影响,并比较法律严格的州和法律宽松的州,以考察这些法律对啤酒消费及致死事故比率的影响。
我们使用了致命事故分析报告系统,计算涉及致命事故的21岁以下饮酒与不饮酒驾驶者的比例,作为我们的关键结果指标。我们采用结构方程模型来评估三项MLDA - 21法律。我们控制了已知会影响致命事故的协变量,包括:另外17项MLDA - 21法律;行政许可吊销;驾驶时血液酒精浓度限制为0.08和0.10;安全带法律;清醒检查站频率;失业率;以及车辆行驶里程。除了21岁以下饮酒与不饮酒驾驶者的致命事故比率外,结果变量还包括州人均啤酒消费量。
酒馆责任法与总效应降低2.4%相关(直接效应:β = 0.019,p = 0.018)。同样,RBS培训法与涉及致命事故的21岁以下饮酒与不饮酒驾驶者比例的总效应降低3.6%相关(直接效应:β = 0.048, p = 0.001)。酒馆责任法的强度与人均啤酒消费量之间存在显著关系,F(4, 1528) = 24.32,p < 0.001,偏η² = 0.016,表明酒馆责任法严格的州(均值(M) = 1.276)的人均啤酒消费量平均显著低于法律宽松的州(M = 1.340)。
酒馆责任法和RBS法均与人均啤酒消费量及致死事故比率的显著降低相关。实际上,这意味着酒馆责任法目前在当前实施该法律的45个司法管辖区估计可挽救64条生命。如果其余6个州采用酒馆责任法,每年可能还可挽救9条生命。同样,RBS培训法在当前实施该法律的37个司法管辖区估计可挽救83条生命。如果其余14个州采用这些RBS培训法,我们估计每年可能还可挽救28条生命。