Department of Hygiene, Epidemiology and Medical Statistics, Medical School, National University of Athens, 75 M. Asias Str. Goudi, 115 27, Athens, Greece.
Department of Medical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Karolinska Institutet, Stockholm, Sweden.
Eur J Epidemiol. 2015 Dec;30(12):1229-61. doi: 10.1007/s10654-015-0089-3. Epub 2015 Nov 4.
The role of reproductive factors, such as parental age, in the pathogenesis of childhood leukemias is being intensively examined; the results of individual studies are controversial. This meta-analysis aims to quantitatively synthesize the published data on the association between parental age and risk of two major distinct childhood leukemia types in the offspring. Eligible studies were identified and pooled relative risk (RR) estimates were calculated using random-effects models, separately for childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) and acute myeloid leukemia (AML). Subgroup analyses were performed by study design, geographical region, adjustment factors; sensitivity analyses and meta-regression analyses were also undertaken. 77 studies (69 case-control and eight cohort) were deemed eligible. Older maternal and paternal age were associated with increased risk for childhood ALL (pooled RR = 1.05, 95 % CI 1.01-1.10; pooled RR = 1.04, 95 % CI 1.00-1.08, per 5 year increments, respectively). The association between maternal age and risk of childhood AML showed a U-shaped pattern, with symmetrically associated increased risk in the oldest (pooled RR = 1.23, 95 % CI 1.06-1.43) and the youngest (pooled RR = 1.23, 95 % CI 1.07-1.40) extremes. Lastly, only younger fathers were at increased risk of having a child with AML (pooled RR = 1.28, 95 % CI 1.04-1.59). In conclusion, maternal and paternal age represents a meaningful risk factor for childhood leukemia, albeit of different effect size by leukemia subtype. Genetic and socio-economic factors may underlie the observed associations. Well-adjusted studies, scheduled by large consortia, are anticipated to satisfactorily address methodological issues, whereas the potential underlying genetic mechanisms should be elucidated by basic research studies.
生殖因素(如父母年龄)在儿童白血病发病机制中的作用正在被深入研究;个别研究的结果存在争议。本荟萃分析旨在定量综合已发表的关于父母年龄与儿童两种主要不同类型白血病风险之间关系的研究数据。符合条件的研究被确定并使用随机效应模型分别计算儿童急性淋巴细胞白血病(ALL)和急性髓细胞白血病(AML)的相对风险(RR)估计值。根据研究设计、地理位置、调整因素进行了亚组分析;还进行了敏感性分析和荟萃回归分析。77 项研究(69 项病例对照和 8 项队列研究)被认为符合条件。母亲和父亲年龄较大与儿童 ALL 风险增加相关(汇总 RR=1.05,95%CI1.01-1.10;汇总 RR=1.04,95%CI1.00-1.08,每增加 5 岁)。母亲年龄与儿童 AML 风险之间的关系呈 U 型模式,最年长(汇总 RR=1.23,95%CI1.06-1.43)和最年轻(汇总 RR=1.23,95%CI1.07-1.40)极端的风险呈对称相关。最后,只有年轻的父亲患 AML 的风险增加(汇总 RR=1.28,95%CI1.04-1.59)。总之,母亲和父亲的年龄是儿童白血病的一个有意义的危险因素,尽管按白血病亚型的效应大小不同。遗传和社会经济因素可能是观察到的关联的基础。预期由大型联合会组织进行的精心调整的研究将令人满意地解决方法学问题,而潜在的遗传机制则应由基础研究来阐明。