Ho Ka-wai, Ng Wai-tong, Ip Margaret, You Joyce H S
School of Pharmacy, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Department of Microbiology, Faculty of Medicine, The Chinese University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China.
Am J Infect Control. 2016 Apr 1;44(4):394-9. doi: 10.1016/j.ajic.2015.10.026. Epub 2015 Dec 14.
Carbapenem-resistant Enterobacteriaceae (CRE) cause significant morbidity and mortality in intensive care unit (ICU) settings. We examined potential cost-effectiveness of active CRE surveillance at ICUs in a nonendemic region from the perspective of a Hong Kong health care provider.
A decision analytic model was designed to simulate outcomes of active CRE surveillance in ICUs. Outcome measures included CRE-associated direct medical cost, infection rate, mortality rate, quality-adjusted life year (QALY) loss, and incremental cost per QALY saved by active surveillance. Model inputs were derived from the literature. Sensitivity analyses evaluated the influence of uncertainty of model variables.
In base-case analysis, the surveillance group was more costly ($1,260 vs $1,256) with lower CRE infection rate (5.670% vs 5.902%), CRE-associated mortality rate (2.139% vs 2.455%), and CRE-associated QALY loss (0.3335 vs 0.3827) than the control group. Incremental cost per QALY saved of active surveillance was $81 per QALY saved. One-way sensitivity analyses found base-case results to be robust to a variety of model inputs. In 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations, the surveillance group was the preferred option 99.98% of time.
Active CRE surveillance in ICUs appears to be highly cost-effective to reduce CRE infection rate, mortality rate, and QALY loss in a low CRE burden region.
耐碳青霉烯类肠杆菌科细菌(CRE)在重症监护病房(ICU)环境中可导致显著的发病率和死亡率。我们从香港医疗服务提供者的角度,研究了在非流行地区的ICU进行CRE主动监测的潜在成本效益。
设计了一个决策分析模型来模拟ICU中CRE主动监测的结果。结果指标包括与CRE相关的直接医疗成本、感染率、死亡率、质量调整生命年(QALY)损失以及主动监测每挽救一个QALY的增量成本。模型输入数据来自文献。敏感性分析评估了模型变量不确定性的影响。
在基础病例分析中,监测组的成本更高(1260美元对1256美元),但CRE感染率(5.670%对5.902%)、与CRE相关的死亡率(2.139%对2.455%)和与CRE相关的QALY损失(0.3335对0.3827)均低于对照组。主动监测每挽救一个QALY的增量成本为81美元。单向敏感性分析发现基础病例结果对各种模型输入具有稳健性。在10000次蒙特卡洛模拟中,监测组在99.98%的时间内是首选方案。
在低CRE负担地区,ICU中的CRE主动监测似乎在降低CRE感染率、死亡率和QALY损失方面具有很高的成本效益。