Gregory Robin, Satterfield Terre, Hasell Ariel
Decision Research, Eugene, OR 97401;
Institute for Resources, Environment, and Sustainability, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, BC Canada V6T 1Z4;
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2016 Jan 19;113(3):560-5. doi: 10.1073/pnas.1508896113. Epub 2016 Jan 4.
Over the coming decades citizens living in North America and Europe will be asked about a variety of new technological and behavioral initiatives intended to mitigate the worst impacts of climate change. A common approach to public input has been surveys whereby respondents' attitudes about climate change are explained by individuals' demographic background, values, and beliefs. In parallel, recent deliberative research seeks to more fully address the complex value tradeoffs linked to novel technologies and difficult ethical questions that characterize leading climate mitigation alternatives. New methods such as decision pathway surveys may offer important insights for policy makers by capturing much of the depth and reasoning of small-group deliberations while meeting standard survey goals including large-sample stakeholder engagement. Pathway surveys also can help participants to deepen their factual knowledge base and arrive at a more complete understanding of their own values as they apply to proposed policy alternatives. The pathway results indicate more fully the conditional and context-specific nature of support for several "upstream" climate interventions, including solar radiation management techniques and carbon dioxide removal technologies.
在未来几十年里,生活在北美和欧洲的公民将被问及一系列旨在减轻气候变化最严重影响的新技术和行为倡议。一种常见的公众参与方式是进行调查,通过调查可以根据个人的人口背景、价值观和信仰来解释受访者对气候变化的态度。与此同时,最近的审议性研究试图更全面地解决与新技术相关的复杂价值权衡以及构成主要气候缓解替代方案特征的棘手伦理问题。诸如决策路径调查等新方法可能为政策制定者提供重要见解,因为它在满足包括大样本利益相关者参与在内的标准调查目标的同时,能够捕捉到小组审议的大部分深度和推理过程。路径调查还可以帮助参与者加深其事实知识库,并在将自身价值观应用于提议的政策替代方案时,对自己的价值观有更全面的理解。路径调查结果更充分地表明了对包括太阳辐射管理技术和二氧化碳去除技术在内的几种“上游”气候干预措施的支持具有条件性和特定背景性。