Weaver C P, Moss R H, Ebi K L, Gleick P H, Stern P C, Tebaldi C, Wilson R S, Arvai J L
Office of Research and Development, US Environmental Protection Agency, Research Triangle Park, NC, United States of America.
Author to whom any correspondence should be addressed.
Environ Res Lett. 2017 Jul 21;12(8):1-8. doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/aa7494.
Climate change is a risk management challenge for society, with uncertain but potentially severe outcomes affecting natural and human systems, across generations. Managing climate-related risks will be more difficult without a base of knowledge and practice aimed at identifying and evaluating specific risks, and their likelihood and consequences, as well as potential actions to promote resilience in the face of these risks. We suggest three improvements to the process of conducting climate change assessments to better characterize risk and inform risk management actions.
气候变化对社会而言是一项风险管理挑战,其影响自然和人类系统的结果具有不确定性,但可能十分严重,且会波及几代人。如果缺乏旨在识别和评估特定风险及其可能性与后果的知识和实践基础,以及在面对这些风险时提高恢复力的潜在行动,应对与气候相关的风险将更加困难。我们建议对开展气候变化评估的过程进行三项改进,以更好地描述风险并为风险管理行动提供信息。