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小样本结构方程模型分析中贝叶斯方法与极大似然法的评估

Evaluation of the Bayesian and Maximum Likelihood Approaches in Analyzing Structural Equation Models with Small Sample Sizes.

作者信息

Lee Sik-Yum, Song Xin-Yuan

出版信息

Multivariate Behav Res. 2004 Oct 1;39(4):653-86. doi: 10.1207/s15327906mbr3904_4.

Abstract

The main objective of this article is to investigate the empirical performances of the Bayesian approach in analyzing structural equation models with small sample sizes. The traditional maximum likelihood (ML) is also included for comparison. In the context of a confirmatory factor analysis model and a structural equation model, simulation studies are conducted with the different magnitudes of parameters and sample sizes n = da, where d = 2, 3, 4 and 5, and a is the number of unknown parameters. The performances are evaluated in terms of the goodness-of-fit statistics, and various measures on the accuracy of the estimates. The conclusion is: for data that are normally distributed, the Bayesian approach can be used with small sample sizes, whilst ML cannot.

摘要

本文的主要目的是研究贝叶斯方法在分析小样本结构方程模型时的实证表现。同时纳入传统的最大似然法(ML)进行比较。在验证性因子分析模型和结构方程模型的背景下,针对不同参数规模和样本量(n = da)(其中(d = 2)、(3)、(4)和(5),(a)为未知参数的数量)进行了模拟研究。根据拟合优度统计量以及估计准确性的各种度量来评估表现。结论是:对于正态分布的数据,贝叶斯方法可用于小样本,而最大似然法不行。

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