Penn Injury Science Center, Center for Clinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, University of Pennsylvania, Blockley Hall Room 936, 423 Guardian Drive, Philadelphia, PA, 19104, USA.
Department of Sociology and Criminology and Law, University of Florida, Turlington Hall Room 3340, Gainesville, FL, 32611, USA.
J Youth Adolesc. 2016 Apr;45(4):746-62. doi: 10.1007/s10964-016-0417-2. Epub 2016 Jan 9.
Prior research has demonstrated that both adolescent gang affiliation and perceived delinquent peer association are important predictors of individual offending. A crucial question is whether and how youth gang affiliation contributes to a spectrum of criminal acts above and beyond the influence of associating with delinquent peers. Using 14 waves of data from the Rochester Youth Developmental Study, an ongoing longitudinal panel study aimed at understanding the causes and consequences of delinquency and drug use in an urban sample of adolescents, the current study employs a relatively new modeling technique-dual trajectory analysis-to illustrate the dynamic relationship between these two measures among 666 male youth. The results suggest that the two measures, while overlapping, may constitute distinct concepts that operate in different ways. The most convincing evidence of gang effects, above and beyond the influence of perceived peer delinquency, is for violent behavior and by extension police arrest. Our findings contribute to developmental research and provide information that informs future gang control efforts.
先前的研究表明，青少年团伙关系和感知到的不良同伴交往都是个体犯罪的重要预测因素。一个关键问题是，青年团伙关系是否以及如何在与不良同伴交往的影响之外，对一系列犯罪行为做出贡献。本研究利用罗切斯特青年发展研究（Rochester Youth Developmental Study）的 14 波数据，这是一项旨在了解城市青少年群体中犯罪和吸毒原因及后果的长期纵向面板研究，采用一种相对较新的建模技术——双重轨迹分析（dual trajectory analysis）——来阐述这两个措施在 666 名男性青少年中的动态关系。结果表明，这两个措施虽然重叠，但可能构成不同的概念，以不同的方式运作。除了感知到的同伴犯罪的影响之外，最令人信服的团伙效应证据是针对暴力行为，进而扩展到警察逮捕。我们的研究结果为发展研究做出了贡献，并提供了有关未来团伙控制工作的信息。
