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心力衰竭患者短期再入院风险的Meta分析

Meta-Analysis of Risks for Short-Term Readmission in Patients With Heart Failure.

作者信息

Saito Makoto, Negishi Kazuaki, Marwick Thomas H

机构信息

Menzies Institute for Medical Research, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.

Menzies Institute for Medical Research, Hobart, Tasmania, Australia.

出版信息

Am J Cardiol. 2016 Feb 15;117(4):626-632. doi: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2015.11.048. Epub 2015 Dec 7.

Abstract

This investigation sought to quantify the risk factors for short-term readmission in patients with heart failure (HF). Electronic databases were systematically searched for studies reporting relative risk, odds ratio, and hazard ratio for the combined primary outcome of all-cause hospital readmission or all-cause mortality ≤90 days from discharge of patients with HF. Clinical characteristics, study design, type and incidence of outcome, univariable effect sizes for each risk factor, and their associated 95% confidence intervals were extracted. Each univariable effect size was pooled and computed in a separate meta-analysis using random-effects models weighted by inverse variance. The frequency of significance of each risk factor in multivariable models was also assessed to confirm their independence. Sixty-nine studies (2,038,524 patients) were included and 144 factors were reported, including 32 reported more than twice. The significant associations of the combined primary outcome were chronic lung disease, chronic kidney disease, atherosclerotic vascular disease (peripheral, coronary, and cerebrovascular), diabetes, anemia, lower systolic blood pressure, previous admission, multidisciplinary treatment, and use of beta-blockade and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibition or angiotensin receptor blockade. In multivariable analyses, most of these variables remained independently associated with the combined primary outcome. However, age, male gender, black race, hypertension, dyslipidemia, smoking, atrial fibrillation, cancer, and uses of diuretics, aldosterone antagonists, and digoxin were not significant. In conclusion, noncardiovascular co-morbidities, poor physical condition, history of admission, and failure to use evidence-based medication are more strongly associated with 90-day readmission or death than standard risks in patients with HF.

摘要

本研究旨在量化心力衰竭(HF)患者短期再入院的风险因素。系统检索电子数据库,查找报告HF患者出院后≤90天内全因住院再入院或全因死亡这一联合主要结局的相对风险、比值比和风险比的研究。提取临床特征、研究设计、结局类型和发生率、每个风险因素的单变量效应量及其相关的95%置信区间。使用逆方差加权的随机效应模型,在单独的荟萃分析中汇总并计算每个单变量效应量。还评估了每个风险因素在多变量模型中的显著性频率,以确认其独立性。纳入了69项研究(2,038,524例患者),报告了144个因素,其中32个因素报告次数超过两次。联合主要结局的显著关联因素有慢性肺病、慢性肾病、动脉粥样硬化性血管疾病(外周、冠状动脉和脑血管)、糖尿病、贫血、较低的收缩压、既往住院史、多学科治疗以及使用β受体阻滞剂和血管紧张素转换酶抑制剂或血管紧张素受体阻滞剂。在多变量分析中,这些变量中的大多数仍与联合主要结局独立相关。然而,年龄、男性、黑人种族、高血压、血脂异常、吸烟、心房颤动、癌症以及使用利尿剂、醛固酮拮抗剂和地高辛并不显著。总之,对于HF患者,非心血管合并症、身体状况差、住院史以及未使用循证药物与90天再入院或死亡的关联比标准风险因素更强。

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