Häfner H
Zentralinstitut für Seelische Gesundheit, Mannheim.
Psychiatr Neurol Med Psychol (Leipz). 1989 Aug;41(8):449-75.
Since more than one century suicides have been registered in national statistics of death causes. They thus furnish one of the few parameters of psychiatrically relevant behaviour by means of which trends, cohort, age-group and period effects can be studied over longer periods. Since the second half of last century, the suicide rates for Swiss males--similar to those found in England and Wales--show a decrease in consecutive birth cohorts up to males born in the decade 1930-1940, and a continued decline in the total trend until about World War II. From then on the suicide rates of males in consecutive birth cohorts have been slowly increasing in the majority of European and North American countries--but not so in Sweden. Opposite to this, the predominantly low rates for females display little change. Further to the considerable differences between nations and the predominance of suicides committed by females in some Asian countries and Cuba, the changes indicate the significance of cultural and economic environmental factors. Typical period effects are mainly the result of changes in conception and conditions of life. In attempted suicide they proceed in a more sensitive and more rapid way and are about ten times higher. Such a period effect showing increases by about 300% in younger age-groups followed by a decline, attaining its peak about 1976, was ascertained in large cities of the Federal Republic of Germany. By the example of the effects of a television serial, the study of causal processes turning collective environmental factors into individual suicidal behaviour, proved that regularities are effective in learning by a process of modelling. Besides, the epidemiological data give essential hints how to treat suicidal behaviour.
一个多世纪以来,自杀事件一直被记录在各国的死因统计中。因此,自杀提供了为数不多的与精神疾病相关行为的参数之一,通过这些参数可以在较长时期内研究趋势、队列、年龄组和时期效应。自上世纪下半叶以来,瑞士男性的自杀率——与英格兰和威尔士的情况类似——在连续出生队列中呈下降趋势,直到1930 - 1940年代出生的男性,并且总体趋势持续下降直到第二次世界大战左右。从那时起,在大多数欧洲和北美国家,连续出生队列中男性的自杀率一直在缓慢上升——但瑞典并非如此。与此相反,女性自杀率普遍较低,变化不大。除了各国之间存在的显著差异以及一些亚洲国家和古巴女性自杀占主导地位外,这些变化表明了文化和经济环境因素的重要性。典型的时期效应主要是观念和生活条件变化的结果。在自杀未遂中,这些效应表现得更为敏感和迅速,而且发生率大约高出十倍。在德意志联邦共和国的大城市中,发现了这样一种时期效应:在较年轻年龄组中增加约300%,随后下降,在1976年左右达到峰值。通过一部电视连续剧的影响为例,对将集体环境因素转化为个体自杀行为的因果过程的研究证明,规律在通过模仿过程进行学习中是有效的。此外,流行病学数据为如何治疗自杀行为提供了重要线索。