Grossman M
Br J Addict. 1989 Oct;84(10):1193-204. doi: 10.1111/j.1360-0443.1989.tb00715.x.
Excise taxes on alcohol and cigarettes imposed by the Federal government of the United States have been very stable since 1951. This paper summarizes research that shows that increased taxation, which results in higher prices, would discourage alcohol abuse and cigarette smoking. One striking finding is that a policy to raise the Federal excise tax on beer in line with the rate of inflation over the last three decades would cut motor vehicle fatalities of 18 to 20 year olds, many of which are alcohol-related, by about 15%, saving more than 1,000 lives per year. A second is that over 800,000 premature deaths in the cohort of Americans 12 years and older in 1984 would be averted if the Federal excise tax on cigarettes were restored to its real value in 1951.
自1951年以来,美国联邦政府对酒精饮料和香烟征收的消费税一直非常稳定。本文总结的研究表明,提高税收会导致价格上涨,从而抑制酒精滥用和吸烟行为。一个显著的发现是,一项将联邦啤酒消费税提高至与过去三十年通货膨胀率相符水平的政策,将使18至20岁人群中与酒精相关的机动车死亡率降低约15%,每年挽救超过1000人的生命。另一个发现是,如果将联邦香烟消费税恢复到1951年的实际价值,那么在1984年,12岁及以上的美国人群中可避免超过80万例过早死亡。