Mihic Marko M, Todorovic Marija Lj, Obradovic Vladimir Lj, Mitrovic Zorica M
Department for Management and Specialised Management Disciplines, Faculty of Organisational Sciences, University of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
Clin Interv Aging. 2016 Jan 28;11:85-96. doi: 10.2147/CIA.S96778. eCollection 2016.
Social services aimed at the elderly are facing great challenges caused by progressive aging of the global population but also by the constant pressure to spend funds in a rational manner.
This paper focuses on analyzing the investments into human resources aimed at enhancing home care for the elderly since many countries have recorded progress in the area over the past years. The goal of this paper is to stress the significance of performing an economic analysis of the investment.
This paper combines statistical analysis methods such as correlation and regression analysis, methods of economic analysis, and scenario method.
The economic analysis of investing in human resources for home care service in Serbia showed that the both scenarios of investing in either additional home care hours or more beneficiaries are cost-efficient. However, the optimal solution with the positive (and the highest) value of economic net present value criterion is to invest in human resources to boost the number of home care hours from 6 to 8 hours per week and increase the number of the beneficiaries to 33%.
This paper shows how the statistical and economic analysis results can be used to evaluate different scenarios and enable quality decision-making based on exact data in order to improve health and quality of life of the elderly and spend funds in a rational manner.
针对老年人的社会服务正面临巨大挑战，这不仅源于全球人口的老龄化进程，还源于合理使用资金的持续压力。
本文着重分析旨在加强老年人居家护理的人力资源投资，因为许多国家在过去几年该领域已取得进展。本文的目标是强调对该投资进行经济分析的重要性。
本文结合了相关性和回归分析等统计分析方法、经济分析方法以及情景分析法。
塞尔维亚居家护理服务人力资源投资的经济分析表明，增加居家护理时长或增加受益人数这两种投资情景均具有成本效益。然而，经济净现值标准为正值（且最高）的最优解决方案是投资人力资源，将每周居家护理时长从6小时提高到8小时，并将受益人数增加33%。
本文展示了如何利用统计和经济分析结果评估不同情景，并基于准确数据做出高质量决策，以改善老年人的健康和生活质量，并合理使用资金。
