Joseph Gary, Baptista Menezes Ana Maria, Wehrmeister Fernando C.
Post-Graduate Program in Epidemiology, Federal University of Pelotas (UFPEL), Brazil
Clin Res Pulmonol. 2015;3(1).
To evaluate the effect of menarche before 11 years of age on the incidence of wheezing/asthma in girls 11 to 18 years of age.
The study sample comprised 1,350 girls from a birth cohort that started in 1993 in the urban area of the city of Pelotas, southern Brazil; this cohort was followed until 18 years of age. We assessed wheezing by the question, "Have you ever had wheezing in the chest at any time in the past?," from the International Study of Asthma and Allergies in Childhood (ISAAC) questionnaire. Early menarche was defined as occurring before 11 years of age. We estimated the cumulative incidence of wheezing excluding from the analysis all those participants who reported wheezing before age of 11 years. We performed the chi-square test to assess the association between ever wheezing and independent variables. Poisson regression models with robust variance were used to estimate cumulative incidence ratios.
The average age at menarche in the cohort girls was 12 years (95% CI: 11.1-12.1). The prevalence of early menarche before 11 years of age was 11% (95% CI: 9.7-12.3). The cumulative incidence of wheezing from 11 to 18 years of age was 33.5% (95% CI: 30.9- 36.0). The crude association between ever wheezing in adolescence and early menarche before age 11 was 1.19 (95% CI: 0.96-1.48). After adjusting for early childhood and contemporaneous variables, no significant association for early menarche before 11 years of age and wheezing during adolescence was found (CIR: 1.18; CI95%: 0.93-1.49).
Early menarche before 11 years of age is not associated with an increased risk of wheezing during adolescence.
评估11岁前月经初潮对11至18岁女孩喘息/哮喘发病率的影响。
研究样本包括1993年始于巴西南部佩洛塔斯市市区的一个出生队列中的1350名女孩;该队列随访至18岁。我们通过“你过去曾在任何时候出现过胸部喘息吗?”这一问题,依据儿童哮喘和过敏国际研究(ISAAC)问卷来评估喘息情况。月经初潮提前定义为在11岁之前出现。我们估计了喘息的累积发病率,分析中排除了所有在11岁之前报告有喘息的参与者。我们进行卡方检验以评估曾有喘息与自变量之间的关联。使用具有稳健方差的泊松回归模型来估计累积发病率比。
该队列女孩月经初潮的平均年龄为12岁(95%置信区间:11.1 - 12.1)。11岁前月经初潮提前的患病率为11%(95%置信区间:9.7 - 12.3)。11至18岁喘息的累积发病率为33.5%(95%置信区间:30.9 - 36.0)。青春期曾有喘息与11岁前月经初潮提前之间的粗关联为1.19(95%置信区间:0.96 - 1.48)。在对幼儿期和同期变量进行调整后,未发现11岁前月经初潮提前与青春期喘息之间存在显著关联(累积发病率比:1.18;95%置信区间:0.93 - 1.49)。
11岁前月经初潮提前与青春期喘息风险增加无关。