Luquero Francisco J, Rondy Marc, Boncy Jacques, Munger André, Mekaoui Helmi, Rymshaw Ellen, Page Anne-Laure, Toure Brahima, Degail Marie Amelie, Nicolas Sarala, Grandesso Francesco, Ginsbourger Maud, Polonsky Jonathan, Alberti Kathryn P, Terzian Mego, Olson David, Porten Klaudia, Ciglenecki Iza
Emerg Infect Dis. 2016 Mar;22(3):410-6. doi: 10.3201/eid2203.141970.
The 2010 cholera epidemic in Haiti was one of the largest cholera epidemics ever recorded. To estimate the magnitude of the death toll during the first wave of the epidemic, we retrospectively conducted surveys at 4 sites in the northern part of Haiti. Overall, 70,903 participants were included; at all sites, the crude mortality rates (19.1-35.4 deaths/1,000 person-years) were higher than the expected baseline mortality rate for Haiti (9 deaths/1,000 person-years). This finding represents an excess of 3,406 deaths (2.9-fold increase) for the 4.4% of the Haiti population covered by these surveys, suggesting a substantially higher cholera mortality rate than previously reported.
2010年海地霍乱疫情是有史以来最大规模的霍乱疫情之一。为估算疫情第一波期间的死亡人数规模,我们在海地北部4个地点进行了回顾性调查。总共纳入了70903名参与者;在所有地点,粗死亡率(每1000人年19.1 - 35.4例死亡)高于海地的预期基线死亡率(每1000人年9例死亡)。这一发现表明,在这些调查覆盖的4.4%的海地人口中,额外死亡3406人(增长了2.9倍),这表明霍乱死亡率比之前报告的要高得多。