Salahudeen Mohammed Saji, Nishtala Prasad S, Duffull Stephen B
School of Pharmacy, University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand.
Dement Geriatr Cogn Dis Extra. 2016 Jan 6;5(3):530-41. doi: 10.1159/000441718. eCollection 2015 Sep-Dec.
To examine patient characteristics that predict adverse anticholinergic-type events in older people.
This retrospective population-level study included 2,248 hospitalised patients. Individual data on medicines that are commonly associated with anticholinergic events (delirium, constipation and urinary retention) were identified. Patient characteristics examined were medicines with anticholinergic effects (ACh burden), age, sex, non-anticholinergic medicines (non-ACM), Charlson comorbidity index scores and ethnicity. The Akaike information criterion was used for model selection. The data were analysed using logistic regression models for anticholinergic events using the software NONMEM.
ACh burden was found to be a significant independent predictor for developing an anticholinergic event [adjusted odds ratio (aOR): 3.21, 95% CI: 1.23-5.81] for those taking an average of 5 anticholinergic medicines compared to those taking 1. Both non-ACM and age were also independent risk factors (aOR: 1.41, 95% CI: 1.31-1.51 and aOR: 1.08, 95% CI: 1.05-1.10, respectively).
To our knowledge, this is the first study that has examined population-level data in a nonlinear model framework to predict anticholinergic-type adverse events. This study evaluated the relationship between important patient characteristics and the occurrence of anticholinergic-type events. These findings reinforce the clinical significance of reviewing anticholinergic medicines in older people.
研究预测老年人抗胆碱能类不良事件的患者特征。
这项回顾性人群水平研究纳入了2248名住院患者。确定了与抗胆碱能事件(谵妄、便秘和尿潴留)常见相关药物的个体数据。所研究的患者特征包括具有抗胆碱能作用的药物(ACh负担)、年龄、性别、非抗胆碱能药物(非ACM)、查尔森合并症指数评分和种族。使用赤池信息准则进行模型选择。使用软件NONMEM,通过逻辑回归模型分析抗胆碱能事件的数据。
发现对于平均服用5种抗胆碱能药物的患者与服用1种的患者相比,ACh负担是发生抗胆碱能事件的显著独立预测因素[调整优势比(aOR):3.21,95%置信区间(CI):1.23 - 5.81]。非ACM和年龄也是独立危险因素(分别为aOR:1.41,95% CI:1.31 - 1.51和aOR:1.08,95% CI:1.05 - 1.10)。
据我们所知,这是第一项在非线性模型框架中检查人群水平数据以预测抗胆碱能类不良事件的研究。本研究评估了重要患者特征与抗胆碱能类事件发生之间的关系。这些发现强化了在老年人中审查抗胆碱能药物的临床意义。