Rapant S, Cvečková V, Fajčíková K, Dietzová Z, Stehlíková B
State Geological Institute of Dionyz Stur, Mlynská dolina 1, 817 04, Bratislava, Slovak Republic.
Faculty of Tourism, Goethe Uni Bratislava, Winterová 29, 921 01, Piešťany, Slovak Republic.
Environ Geochem Health. 2017 Feb;39(1):191-208. doi: 10.1007/s10653-016-9820-6. Epub 2016 Mar 31.
This study deals with the analysis of relationship between chemical composition of the groundwater/drinking water and the data on mortality from oncological diseases (MOD) in the Slovak Republic. Primary data consist of the Slovak national database of groundwater analyses (20,339 chemical analyses, 34 chemical elements/compounds) and data on MOD (17 health indicators) collected for the 10-year period (1994-2003). The chemical and health data were unified in the same form and expressed as the mean values for each of 2883 municipalities within the Slovak Republic. Pearson and Spearman correlation as well as artificial neural network (ANN) methods were used for analysis of the relationship between chemical composition of groundwater/drinking water and MOD. The most significant chemical elements having influence on MOD were identified together with their limit values (limit and optimal contents). Based on the results of calculations, made through the neural networks, the following eight chemical elements/parameters in the groundwater were defined as the most significant for MOD: Ca + Mg (mmol l), Ca, Mg, TDS, Cl, HCO, SO and NO. The results document the highest relationship between MOD and groundwater contents of Ca + Mg (mmol l), Ca and Mg. We observe increased MOD with low (deficit) contents of these three parameters of groundwater/drinking water. The following limit values were set for the most significant groundwater chemicals/parameters: Ca + Mg 1.73-5.85 mmol l, Ca 60.5-196.8 mg l and Mg 25.6-35.8 mg l. At these concentration ranges, the mortality for oncological diseases in the Slovak Republic is at the lowest levels. These limit values are about twice higher in comparison with the current Slovak valid guideline values for the drinking water.
本研究旨在分析斯洛伐克共和国地下水/饮用水的化学成分与肿瘤疾病死亡率(MOD)数据之间的关系。原始数据包括斯洛伐克国家地下水分析数据库(20339次化学分析,34种化学元素/化合物)以及1994 - 2003年这10年期间收集的肿瘤疾病死亡率数据(17项健康指标)。化学和健康数据以相同形式统一,并表示为斯洛伐克共和国内2883个市镇各自的平均值。采用皮尔逊和斯皮尔曼相关性分析以及人工神经网络(ANN)方法来分析地下水/饮用水的化学成分与肿瘤疾病死亡率之间的关系。确定了对肿瘤疾病死亡率有影响的最显著化学元素及其限值(极限含量和最佳含量)。基于通过神经网络进行的计算结果,确定了地下水中以下八种化学元素/参数对肿瘤疾病死亡率最为显著:Ca + Mg(mmol/l)、Ca、Mg、总溶解固体(TDS)、Cl、HCO、SO和NO。结果表明,肿瘤疾病死亡率与地下水中Ca + Mg(mmol/l)、Ca和Mg的含量之间存在最高的相关性。我们观察到,当地下水/饮用水中这三个参数的含量较低(不足)时,肿瘤疾病死亡率会升高。为最显著的地下水化学物质/参数设定了以下限值:Ca + Mg 1.73 - 5.85 mmol/l、Ca 60.5 - 196.8 mg/l和Mg 25.6 - 35.8 mg/l。在这些浓度范围内,斯洛伐克共和国肿瘤疾病的死亡率处于最低水平。与斯洛伐克现行有效的饮用水指导值相比,这些限值大约高出两倍。