Liu Fei, Chai Jing, Wang Bin, Liu Jian, Zhang Xiao, Wang Zhiyuan
Earth System Modeling Center and Climate Dynamics Research Center, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, China.
Department of Atmospheric Sciences and Atmosphere-Ocean Research Center, University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI 96825, USA.
Sci Rep. 2016 Apr 11;6:24331. doi: 10.1038/srep24331.
Climate variation of global monsoon (GM) precipitation involves both internal feedback and external forcing. Here, we focus on strong volcanic forcing since large eruptions are known to be a dominant mechanism in natural climate change. It is not known whether large volcanoes erupted at different latitudes have distinctive effects on the monsoon in the Northern Hemisphere (NH) and the Southern Hemisphere (SH). We address this issue using a 1500-year volcanic sensitivity simulation by the Community Earth System Model version 1.0 (CESM1). Volcanoes are classified into three types based on their meridional aerosol distributions: NH volcanoes, SH volcanoes and equatorial volcanoes. Using the model simulation, we discover that the GM precipitation in one hemisphere is enhanced significantly by the remote volcanic forcing occurring in the other hemisphere. This remote volcanic forcing-induced intensification is mainly through circulation change rather than moisture content change. In addition, the NH volcanic eruptions are more efficient in reducing the NH monsoon precipitation than the equatorial ones, and so do the SH eruptions in weakening the SH monsoon, because the equatorial eruptions, despite reducing moisture content, have weaker effects in weakening the off-equatorial monsoon circulation than the subtropical-extratropical volcanoes do.
全球季风(GM)降水的气候变化涉及内部反馈和外部强迫。在此,我们聚焦于强烈的火山强迫,因为大型火山喷发是自然气候变化中的一个主导机制。不同纬度地区喷发的大型火山对北半球(NH)和南半球(SH)季风是否有不同影响尚不清楚。我们使用社区地球系统模型1.0版(CESM1)进行了1500年的火山敏感性模拟来解决这个问题。根据火山的经向气溶胶分布,火山被分为三种类型:北半球火山、南半球火山和赤道火山。通过模型模拟,我们发现一个半球的GM降水会因另一个半球发生的远程火山强迫而显著增强。这种由远程火山强迫引起的增强主要是通过环流变化而非水分含量变化。此外,北半球火山喷发在减少北半球季风降水方面比赤道火山更有效,南半球火山喷发在减弱南半球季风方面也是如此,因为赤道火山喷发尽管会减少水分含量,但在减弱赤道外季风环流方面的效果比亚热带 - 温带火山要弱。