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尤登指数及其相应最佳切点的精确置信区间估计

Exact confidence interval estimation for the Youden index and its corresponding optimal cut-point.

作者信息

Lai Chin-Ying, Tian Lili, Schisterman Enrique F

机构信息

Department of Biostatistics, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, NY 14214, USA.

Division of Epidemiology, Statistics and Prevention Research, Eunice Kennedy Shriver, National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, National Institutes of Health, DHHS, 6100 Executive Blvd, 7B03, Rockville, Bethesda, MD, USA.

出版信息

Comput Stat Data Anal. 2012 May 1;56(5):1103-1114. doi: 10.1016/j.csda.2010.11.023. Epub 2010 Dec 7.

Abstract

In diagnostic studies, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the ROC curve are important tools in assessing the utility of biomarkers in discriminating between non-diseased and diseased populations. For classifying a patient into the non-diseased or diseased group, an optimal cut-point of a continuous biomarker is desirable. Youden's index (), defined as the maximum vertical distance between the ROC curve and the diagonal line, serves as another global measure of overall diagnostic accuracy and can be used in choosing an optimal cut-point. The proposed approach is to make use of a generalized approach to estimate the confidence intervals of the Youden index and its corresponding optimal cut-point. Simulation results are provided for comparing the coverage probabilities of the confidence intervals based on the proposed method with those based on the large sample method and the parametric bootstrap method. Finally, the proposed method is illustrated via an application to a data set from a study on Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD).

摘要

在诊断研究中,受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线及ROC曲线下面积是评估生物标志物在区分非患病和患病群体时效用的重要工具。为了将患者分类到非患病或患病组,需要一个连续生物标志物的最佳切点。约登指数()定义为ROC曲线与对角线之间的最大垂直距离,它是整体诊断准确性的另一种全局度量,可用于选择最佳切点。所提出的方法是利用一种广义方法来估计约登指数及其相应最佳切点的置信区间。提供了模拟结果,用于比较基于所提出方法的置信区间与基于大样本方法和参数自助法的置信区间的覆盖概率。最后,通过应用于一项关于杜氏肌营养不良症(DMD)研究的数据集来说明所提出的方法。

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