Keith C G, Doyle L W, Kitchen W H, Murton L J
Division of Paediatrics, Royal Women's Hospital, Carlton, VIC.
Med J Aust. 1989 Mar 20;150(6):293-6. doi: 10.5694/j.1326-5377.1989.tb136487.x.
Over the 10-year period from January 1, 1977 to December 31, 1986, 1114 infants with gestational ages of 24 to 30 completed weeks were cared for on a long-term basis in our nursery; 757 (68%) infants survived. As expected, both the mortality rate and the prevalence of stage-3 or stage-4 retinopathy of prematurity among survivors fell with increasing maturity at birth (P less than 0.0001). Adjusting for gestational age, and excluding infants with lethal malformations, the mortality rate decreased significantly (P = 0.018) over time by an estimated 11.5%; also the survival rate of infants with at least stage-3 retinopathy of prematurity increased significantly (P = 0.005) by an estimated 6.8%. In other words, for every 10 additional survivors over the decade, six survivors would have been expected to show at least stage-3 retinopathy of prematurity in either eye. Although the prevalence of advanced stages of retinopathy of prematurity increased in immature survivors, it was not in epidemic proportions; however, it was more likely to be related to the survival of the increasing numbers of at-risk immature infants who, in earlier times, would have died.
在1977年1月1日至1986年12月31日的10年期间,我们的育婴室长期照料了1114名胎龄为24至30足周的婴儿;757名(68%)婴儿存活。正如预期的那样,幸存者中早产3期或4期视网膜病变的死亡率和患病率均随着出生时成熟度的增加而下降(P<0.0001)。在调整胎龄并排除患有致命畸形的婴儿后,死亡率随时间显著下降(P = 0.018),估计下降了11.5%;至少患有3期早产视网膜病变的婴儿的存活率也显著提高(P = 0.005),估计提高了6.8%。换句话说,在这十年中,每多存活10名婴儿,预计就有6名幸存者至少有一只眼睛出现3期早产视网膜病变。尽管早产视网膜病变晚期的患病率在未成熟幸存者中有所增加,但未达到流行程度;然而,它更可能与越来越多处于危险中的未成熟婴儿的存活有关,这些婴儿在早些时候会死亡。