Su Longxiang, Liu Dan, Chai Wenzhao, Liu Dawei, Long Yun
Department of Critical Care Medicine, Peking Union Medical College Hospital, Peking Union Medical College & Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Beijing, China
Department of Respiratory Medicine, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, Tianjin, China.
BMJ Open. 2016 May 13;6(5):e010314. doi: 10.1136/bmjopen-2015-010314.
Several studies have investigated the prognostic value of soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 (sTREM-1) in patients with infection. However, the result was controversial. Thus, the purpose of the present meta-analysis was to determine the prognostic value of the sTREM-1 level in predicting mortality at the initial stage of infection.
The literature was searched in the PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Knowledge and Cochrane databases. A 2×2 contingency table was constructed on the basis of mortality and sTREM-1 levels in patients with infection. 2 authors independently judged study eligibility and extracted data. The prognostic value of sTREM-1 in predicting mortality was determined using a bivariate meta-analysis model. Q-test and I(2) index were used to test heterogeneity.
9 studies were selected from 803 studies. An elevated sTREM-1 level was associated with a higher risk of death in infection, with pooled risk ratio (RR) was 2.54 (95% CI 1.77 to 3.65) using a random-effects model (I(2)=53.8%). With the bivariate random-effects regression model, the pooled sensitivity and specificity of sTREM-1 to predict mortality in infection were 0.75 (95% CI 0.61 to 0.86) and 0.66 (95% CI 0.54 to 0.75), respectively. The diagnostic OR was 6 (95% CI 3 to 10). The overall area under the summary receiver operator characteristic (SROC) curve was 0.76 (95% CI 0.72 to 0.79). When we calculated the sepsis subgroup, the pooled RR was 2.98 (95% CI 2.19 to 4.40). The pooled sensitivity and specificity were 0.74 (95% CI 0.58 to 0.85) and 0.72 (95% CI 0.62 to 0.80), respectively. The overall area under the SROC curve was 0.78 (95% CI 0.74 to 0.81).
Elevated sTREM-1 concentrations had a moderate prognostic significance in assessing the mortality of infection in adult patients. However, sTREM-1 alone is insufficient to predict mortality as a biomarker.
多项研究探讨了髓系细胞触发受体-1(sTREM-1)在感染患者中的预后价值。然而,结果存在争议。因此,本荟萃分析的目的是确定sTREM-1水平在预测感染初期死亡率方面的预后价值。
在PubMed、EMBASE、Web of Knowledge和Cochrane数据库中检索文献。根据感染患者的死亡率和sTREM-1水平构建2×2列联表。两位作者独立判断研究的合格性并提取数据。使用双变量荟萃分析模型确定sTREM-1预测死亡率的预后价值。采用Q检验和I²指数检验异质性。
从803项研究中筛选出9项研究。sTREM-1水平升高与感染患者死亡风险较高相关,采用随机效应模型,合并风险比(RR)为2.54(95%CI 1.77至3.65)(I²=53.8%)。采用双变量随机效应回归模型,sTREM-1预测感染患者死亡率的合并敏感性和特异性分别为0.75(95%CI 0.61至0.86)和0.66(95%CI 0.54至0.75)。诊断比值比为6(95%CI 3至10)。汇总受试者工作特征(SROC)曲线下的总面积为0.76(95%CI 0.72至0.79)。当我们计算脓毒症亚组时,合并RR为2.98(95%CI 2.19至4.40)。合并敏感性和特异性分别为0.74(95%CI 0.58至0.85)和0.72(95%CI 0.62至0.80)。SROC曲线下的总面积为0.78(95%CI 0.74至0.81)。
sTREM-1浓度升高在评估成年感染患者死亡率方面具有中等预后意义。然而,仅sTREM-1作为生物标志物不足以预测死亡率。