Savall Frédéric, Rérolle Camille, Hérin Fabrice, Dédouit Fabrice, Rougé Daniel, Telmon Norbert, Saint-Martin Pauline
Laboratoire d'Anthropobiologie AMIS, UMR 5288 CNRS, Université Paul Sabatier, 37 allées Jules Guesde, 31000 Toulouse, France; Service de Médecine Légale, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Rangueil, avenue du Professeur Jean Poulhès, 31059 Toulouse Cedex 9, France.
Laboratoire d'Anthropobiologie AMIS, UMR 5288 CNRS, Université Paul Sabatier, 37 allées Jules Guesde, 31000 Toulouse, France; Service de Médecine Légale, Centre Hospitalier Universitaire Trousseau, avenue de la République, 37170 Chambray-lès-Tours, France.
Forensic Sci Int. 2016 Sep;266:586.e1-586.e5. doi: 10.1016/j.forsciint.2016.04.030. Epub 2016 May 3.
The Suchey-Brooks method is commonly used for pubic symphyseal aging in forensic cases. However, inter-population variability is a problem affected by several factors such as geographical location and secular trends. The aim of our study was to test the reliability of the Suchey-Brooks method on a virtual sample of contemporary French males. We carried out a retrospective study of 680 pubic symphysis from adult males undergoing clinical Multislice Computed Tomography in two hospitals between January 2013 and July 2014 (Toulouse and Tours, France). The reliability of the Suchey-Brooks method was tested by the calculation of inaccuracy and bias between real and estimated ages, and the mean age for each stage and the mean stage for each 10-years age interval were compared. The degree of inaccuracy and bias increased with age and inaccuracy exceeded 20 years for individuals over 65 years of age. The results are consistent with an overestimation of the real age for stages I and II and an underestimation of the real age for stages IV, V and VI. Furthermore, the mean stages of the reference sample were significantly lower for the 14-25 age group and significantly higher for individuals over 35 years old. Age estimation is potentially limited by differential inter-population error rates between geographical locations. Furthermore, the effects of secular trends are also supported by research in European countries showing a reduction in the age of attainment of indicators of biological maturity during the past few decades. The results suggest that the Suchey-Brooks method should be used with caution in France. Our study supports previous findings and in the future, the Suchey-Brooks method could benefit from re-evaluation of the aging standards by the establishment of new virtual reference samples.
苏西-布鲁克斯方法常用于法医案件中的耻骨联合老化鉴定。然而,人群间的变异性是一个受地理位置和长期趋势等多种因素影响的问题。我们研究的目的是在当代法国男性的虚拟样本上测试苏西-布鲁克斯方法的可靠性。我们对2013年1月至2014年7月期间在法国图卢兹和图尔的两家医院接受临床多层计算机断层扫描的成年男性的680个耻骨联合进行了回顾性研究。通过计算实际年龄与估计年龄之间的误差和偏差来测试苏西-布鲁克斯方法的可靠性,并比较每个阶段的平均年龄以及每10年年龄间隔的平均阶段。误差和偏差程度随年龄增加,65岁以上个体的误差超过20岁。结果表明,对于第一和第二阶段,实际年龄被高估,而对于第四、第五和第六阶段,实际年龄被低估。此外,参考样本的平均阶段在14 - 25岁年龄组显著较低,在35岁以上个体中显著较高。年龄估计可能受到地理位置间人群误差率差异的限制。此外,欧洲国家的研究也支持长期趋势的影响,这些研究表明在过去几十年中生物成熟指标的达到年龄有所降低。结果表明,在法国使用苏西-布鲁克斯方法时应谨慎。我们的研究支持了先前的发现,未来,苏西-布鲁克斯方法可能会受益于通过建立新的虚拟参考样本对老化标准进行重新评估。