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强化抗生素分配策略以及面部清洁和环境改善对沙眼持续控制的潜在影响:一项建模研究

Enhanced antibiotic distribution strategies and the potential impact of facial cleanliness and environmental improvements for the sustained control of trachoma: a modelling study.

作者信息

Pinsent Amy, Burton Matthew J, Gambhir Manoj

机构信息

Department of Epidemiology and Preventive Medicine, Monash University, Melbourne, Australia.

International Centre for Eye Health, Department of Clinical Research, London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK.

出版信息

BMC Med. 2016 May 19;14(1):71. doi: 10.1186/s12916-016-0614-6.

Abstract

BACKGROUND

Despite some success in controlling trachoma with repeated mass drug administration (MDA), some hyperendemic regions are not responding as fast as anticipated. Available data suggests that individuals with higher bacterial infection loads are less likely to resolve infection following a single dose of treatment, and thus remain a source of re-emergent infection following treatment. We assessed the potential impact of a new double-dose antibiotic distribution strategy in addition to enhanced facial cleanliness (F) and environmental improvements (E).

METHODS

Using a within-community mathematical model of trachoma transmission we assessed the impact of a new double-dose antibiotic distribution strategy given 2 weeks apart, with and without enhanced F&E. We compared the annual double-dose strategy to single-dose annual MDA treatment in hyper-, meso- and hypoendemic settings, and to biannual MDA at 6-monthly intervals in hyperendemic communities.

RESULTS

The findings from our mathematical model suggest that implementing the new double-dose strategy for 5 years or less was predicted to control infection more successfully than annual or 6-monthly treatment. Infection was controlled more readily if treatment was combined with enhanced F&E. The results appeared robust to variation in a number of key epidemiological parameters. To have long-term impact on transmission, enhanced F&E is essential for high transmission settings.

CONCLUSION

Our current findings are based on simualtion modelling only, due to lack of epidemilogical data, however they do suggest that the  annual double-dose treatment strategy is encouraging for trachoma control. In high transmission settings, both MDA and enhanced F&E are needed for sustained control.

摘要

背景

尽管通过反复进行群体药物给药(MDA)在控制沙眼方面取得了一些成功,但一些高度流行地区的反应并不像预期的那么快。现有数据表明,细菌感染负荷较高的个体在单次治疗后感染消退的可能性较小,因此仍是治疗后再次感染的来源。我们评估了一种新的双剂量抗生素分发策略以及强化面部清洁(F)和改善环境(E)的潜在影响。

方法

我们使用沙眼传播的社区内数学模型,评估了每隔2周给予一次的新双剂量抗生素分发策略在有无强化F&E情况下的影响。我们将年度双剂量策略与高度、中度和低度流行地区的单剂量年度MDA治疗以及高度流行社区每6个月一次的半年期MDA治疗进行了比较。

结果

我们数学模型的结果表明,实施新的双剂量策略5年或更短时间预计比年度或半年期治疗更能成功控制感染。如果治疗与强化F&E相结合,感染更容易得到控制。结果在一些关键流行病学参数的变化方面表现出稳健性。为了对传播产生长期影响,强化F&E对于高传播环境至关重要。

结论

由于缺乏流行病学数据,我们目前的研究结果仅基于模拟建模,然而它们确实表明年度双剂量治疗策略对沙眼控制是令人鼓舞的。在高传播环境中,持续控制需要MDA和强化F&E两者。

https://cdn.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/blobs/c234/4872360/1519d5faf3a2/12916_2016_614_Fig1_HTML.jpg

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