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随机扰动对SIS传染病系统的影响。

Effects of stochastic perturbation on the SIS epidemic system.

作者信息

Lahrouz Aadil, Settati Adel, Akharif Abdelhadi

机构信息

Laboratory of Mathematics and Applications, Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences and techniques, University Abdelmalek Essaâdi, B.P. 416-Tanger Principale, Tanger, Morocco.

出版信息

J Math Biol. 2017 Jan;74(1-2):469-498. doi: 10.1007/s00285-016-1033-1. Epub 2016 Jun 11.

Abstract

In this paper we extend the classical SIS epidemic model from a deterministic framework to a stochastic one. We also study the long time behavior of the stochastic system. We mainly establish conditions for the extinction of disease from the population as well as the persistence of disease under different conditions. In the case of persistence, we show the existence of a stationary distribution. we found that the introduction of stochastic noise changes the basic reproduction number. The presented results are demonstrated by numerical simulations.

摘要

在本文中,我们将经典的SIS流行病模型从确定性框架扩展到随机框架。我们还研究了随机系统的长期行为。我们主要建立了疾病在人群中灭绝的条件以及在不同条件下疾病持续存在的条件。在疾病持续存在的情况下,我们证明了平稳分布的存在性。我们发现随机噪声的引入改变了基本再生数。通过数值模拟验证了所呈现的结果。

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