Akın Levent, Macabéo Bérengère, Caliskan Zafer, Altinel Serdar, Satman Ilhan
Hacettepe University Faculty of Medicine, Department of Public Health, Üniversiteler Mh., 06640 Ankara, Turkey.
Sanofi Pasteur, 2 Avenue Pont Pasteur, Lyon 69007, France.
PLoS One. 2016 Jun 20;11(6):e0157657. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0157657. eCollection 2016.
In Turkey, the prevalence of diabetes is high but the influenza vaccination coverage rate (VCR) is low (9.1% in 2014), despite vaccination being recommended and reimbursed. This study evaluated the cost-effectiveness of increasing the influenza VCR of adults with type 2 diabetes in Turkey to 20%.
A decision-analytic model was adapted to Turkey using data derived from published sources. Direct medical costs and indirect costs due to productivity loss were included in the societal perspective. The time horizon was set at 1 year to reflect the seasonality of influenza.
Increasing the VCR for adults with type 2 diabetes to 20% is predicted to avert an additional 19,777 influenza cases, 2376 hospitalizations, and 236 deaths. Associated influenza costs avoided were estimated at more than 8.3 million Turkish Lira (TRY), while the cost of vaccination would be more than TRY 8.4 million. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio was estimated at TRY 64/quality-adjusted life years, which is below the per capita gross domestic product of TRY 21,511 and therefore very cost-effective according to World Health Organization guidelines. Factors most influencing the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio were the excess hospitalization rate, inpatient cost, vaccine effectiveness against hospitalization, and influenza attack rate. Increasing the VCR to >20% was also estimated to be very cost-effective.
Increasing the VCR for adults with type 2 diabetes in Turkey to ≥20% would be very cost-effective.
在土耳其,糖尿病患病率很高,但尽管流感疫苗接种是被推荐且可报销的,其接种覆盖率(VCR)却很低(2014年为9.1%)。本研究评估了将土耳其2型糖尿病成年患者的流感VCR提高到20%的成本效益。
采用从已发表资料中获取的数据,将一个决策分析模型应用于土耳其。从社会角度纳入了直接医疗成本和因生产力损失产生的间接成本。时间范围设定为1年以反映流感的季节性。
预计将2型糖尿病成年患者的VCR提高到20%可额外避免19,777例流感病例、2376例住院治疗和236例死亡。避免的相关流感成本估计超过830万土耳其里拉(TRY),而疫苗接种成本将超过840万里拉。增量成本效益比估计为64土耳其里拉/质量调整生命年,低于人均国内生产总值21,511土耳其里拉,因此根据世界卫生组织的指导方针,具有很高的成本效益。对增量成本效益比影响最大的因素是超额住院率、住院成本、疫苗对住院治疗的有效性以及流感发病率。将VCR提高到>20%估计也具有很高的成本效益。
将土耳其2型糖尿病成年患者的VCR提高到≥20%将具有很高的成本效益。