Dadbakhsh Manizhe, Khanjani Narges, Bahrampour Abbas, Haghighi Pegah Shoae
Department of Epidemiology, Faculty of Health, Jiroft University of Medical Science, Jiroft, 78616-15765, Iran.
Environmental Health Engineering Research Center, Kerman University of Medical Sciences, Kerman, Iran.
Int J Biometeorol. 2017 Feb;61(2):239-246. doi: 10.1007/s00484-016-1206-z. Epub 2016 Jul 14.
Some studies have suggested that the number of deaths increases as temperatures drops or rises above human thermal comfort zone. The present study was conducted to evaluate the relation between respiratory-related mortality and temperature in Shiraz, Iran. In this ecological study, data about the number of respiratory-related deaths sorted according to age and gender as well as average, minimum, and maximum ambient air temperatures during 2007-2011 were examined. The relationship between air temperature and respiratory-related deaths was calculated by crude and adjusted negative binomial regression analysis. It was adjusted for humidity, rainfall, wind speed and direction, and air pollutants including CO, NO, PM, SO, O, and THC. Spearman and Pearson correlations were also calculated between air temperature and respiratory-related deaths. The analysis was done using MINITAB16 and STATA 11. During this period, 2598 respiratory-related deaths occurred in Shiraz. The minimum number of respiratory-related deaths among all subjects happened in an average temperature of 25 °C. There was a significant inverse relationship between average temperature- and respiratory-related deaths among all subjects and women. There was also a significant inverse relationship between average temperature and respiratory-related deaths among all subjects, men and women in the next month. The results suggest that cold temperatures can increase the number of respiratory-related deaths and therefore policies to reduce mortality in cold weather, especially in patients with respiratory diseases should be implemented.
一些研究表明,随着气温下降或升至人体热舒适区以上,死亡人数会增加。本研究旨在评估伊朗设拉子呼吸道相关死亡率与气温之间的关系。在这项生态学研究中,对2007年至2011年期间按年龄和性别分类的呼吸道相关死亡人数以及平均、最低和最高环境气温数据进行了检查。通过粗调和调整后的负二项回归分析计算气温与呼吸道相关死亡之间的关系。对湿度、降雨量、风速和风向以及包括一氧化碳、一氧化氮、颗粒物、二氧化硫、臭氧和总烃在内的空气污染物进行了调整。还计算了气温与呼吸道相关死亡之间的斯皮尔曼和皮尔逊相关性。使用MINITAB16和STATA 11进行分析。在此期间,设拉子发生了2598例呼吸道相关死亡。所有受试者中呼吸道相关死亡人数最少的情况发生在平均气温为25摄氏度时。所有受试者和女性的平均气温与呼吸道相关死亡之间存在显著的负相关关系。下个月所有受试者、男性和女性的平均气温与呼吸道相关死亡之间也存在显著的负相关关系。结果表明,寒冷气温会增加呼吸道相关死亡人数,因此应实施在寒冷天气降低死亡率的政策,尤其是针对患有呼吸道疾病的患者。