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大屠杀男性幸存者中的癌症发病率——一项以色列队列研究。

Cancer incidence in Holocaust male survivors-An Israeli cohort study.

作者信息

Keinan-Boker Lital, Goldbourt Uri

机构信息

Israel Center for Disease Control, Israel Ministry of Health, Ramat Gan, Israel.

School of Public Health, University of Haifa, Haifa, Israel.

出版信息

Int J Cancer. 2016 Dec 1;139(11):2426-35. doi: 10.1002/ijc.30378. Epub 2016 Aug 25.

Abstract

Previous studies, often using proxy exposure assessment and not controlling for individual risk factors, suggested higher cancer risk in Holocaust survivors. We have used individual-level data from a male cohort of Israeli civil servants recruited in 1963 to investigate cancer incidence in Holocaust survivors, controlling for potential confounders. The analysis included 4,669 Europe-born subjects; 689 exposed = E (immigrated to Israel after 1939 and reported of being in Nazi camps during World War II); 2,307 potentially exposed = PE (immigrated to Israel after 1939 and reported of not being in Nazi camps); and 1,673 non-exposed = NE (immigrated to Israel prior to 1939). Vital status and cancer incidence in the cohort were determined based on national registries. Socioeconomic level, health behaviors and cancer incidence were compared between the groups and Cox proportional hazards regression models adjusting for potential confounders assessed hazard risk ratios for cancer by exposure status. All-cause mortality was studied as a competing risk. In total, 241, 682, and 522 cancer cases were diagnosed in the E, PE, and NE, respectively. Compared with the NE, all-site cancer incidence was higher in the E (HR = 1.13, 95%CI 0.97-1.32) but not in the PE. All-cause mortality competed with all-site invasive cancer incidence in the E group (HR = 1.18, 95%CI 1.02-1.38). Colorectal and lung cancer seemed to be positively though non-significantly associated with the exposure while prostate cancer was not. Male Holocaust survivors may be at a weakly increased risk for all-site, colorectal and lung cancer. The role of age at exposure and residual confounding should be further investigated.

摘要

以往的研究往往采用代理暴露评估且未控制个体风险因素,结果表明大屠杀幸存者患癌风险更高。我们利用了1963年招募的以色列男性公务员队列的个体层面数据,以调查大屠杀幸存者的癌症发病率,并控制潜在的混杂因素。分析纳入了4669名出生于欧洲的受试者;689名暴露组(E组)=在1939年后移民到以色列且报告在二战期间身处纳粹集中营);2307名潜在暴露组(PE组)=在1939年后移民到以色列且报告未身处纳粹集中营);以及1673名非暴露组(NE组)=在1939年前移民到以色列)。根据国家登记处确定队列中的生命状态和癌症发病率。比较了各组之间的社会经济水平、健康行为和癌症发病率,并通过Cox比例风险回归模型,在调整潜在混杂因素后,评估了按暴露状态划分的癌症风险比。将全因死亡率作为竞争风险进行研究。E组、PE组和NE组分别诊断出241例、682例和522例癌症病例。与NE组相比,E组的所有部位癌症发病率更高(风险比[HR]=1.13,95%置信区间[CI]为0.97-1.32),但PE组并非如此。在E组中,全因死亡率与所有部位浸润性癌症发病率存在竞争关系(HR=1.18,95%CI为1.02-1.38)。结直肠癌和肺癌似乎与暴露呈正相关,尽管无统计学意义,而前列腺癌并非如此。男性大屠杀幸存者患所有部位、结直肠癌和肺癌的风险可能略有增加。暴露时的年龄和残余混杂因素的作用应进一步研究。

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