Springate D A, Parisi R, Kontopantelis E, Reeves D, Griffiths C E M, Ashcroft D M
NIHR School for Primary Care Research (Centre for Primary Care), University of Manchester, Stopford Building, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, U.K.
Centre for Biostatistics, University of Manchester, Stopford Building, Oxford Road, Manchester, M13 9PT, U.K.
Br J Dermatol. 2017 Mar;176(3):650-658. doi: 10.1111/bjd.15021. Epub 2016 Dec 22.
The burden of psoriasis across many world regions is high and there is a recognized need to better understand the epidemiology of this common skin disorder.
To examine changes in the prevalence and incidence of psoriasis, and mortality rates over a 15-year period.
Cohort study involving analysis of longitudinal electronic health records between 1999 and 2013 using the U.K. Clinical Practice Research Datalink (CPRD).
The prevalence of psoriasis increased steadily from 2·3% (2297 cases per 100 000) in 1999 to 2·8% (2815 per 100 000) in 2013, which does not appear to be attributable to changes in incidence rates. We observed peaks in age bands characteristic of early-onset (type I) and late-onset (type II) psoriasis, and changes in incidence and prevalence rates with increasing latitude in the U.K. All-cause mortality rates for the general population and for patients with psoriasis have decreased over the last 15 years. However, the risk of all-cause mortality for patients with psoriasis remains elevated compared with people without psoriasis (hazard ratio 1·21; 95% confidence interval 1·13-1·3) and we found no significant change in this relative excess mortality gap over time.
We found an increasing population living longer with psoriasis in the U.K., which has important implications for healthcare service delivery and for resource allocation. Importantly, early mortality in patients with psoriasis remains elevated compared with the general population and we found no evidence of change in this premature mortality gap.
在世界许多地区,银屑病的负担都很高,人们普遍认识到需要更好地了解这种常见皮肤病的流行病学情况。
研究15年间银屑病的患病率、发病率及死亡率的变化情况。
采用队列研究,分析1999年至2013年间英国临床实践研究数据链(CPRD)中的纵向电子健康记录。
银屑病患病率从1999年的2.3%(每10万人中2297例)稳步上升至2013年的2.8%(每10万人中2815例),这一上升似乎并非由发病率变化所致。我们观察到早发型(I型)和晚发型(II型)银屑病在特定年龄段出现高峰,且在英国,发病率和患病率随纬度增加而变化。过去15年中,普通人群和银屑病患者的全因死亡率均有所下降。然而,银屑病患者的全因死亡风险仍高于无银屑病者(风险比1.21;95%置信区间1.13 - 1.3),且我们发现这一相对过高死亡率差距随时间无显著变化。
我们发现英国患银屑病且存活时间更长的人口在增加,这对医疗服务提供和资源分配具有重要意义。重要的是,银屑病患者的早期死亡率仍高于普通人群,且我们未发现这一过早死亡差距有变化的证据。