O'Hagan Justin J, Carias Cristina, Rudd Jessica M, Pham Huong T, Haber Yonat, Pesik Nicki, Cetron Martin S, Gambhir Manoj, Gerber Susan I, Swerdlow David L
Emerg Infect Dis. 2016 Oct;22(10):1797-9. doi: 10.3201/2210.151121.
Using data from travelers to 4 countries in the Middle East, we estimated 3,250 (95% CI 1,300-6,600) severe cases of Middle East respiratory syndrome occurred in this region during September 2012-January 2016. This number is 2.3-fold higher than the number of laboratory-confirmed cases recorded in these countries.
利用前往中东4个国家的旅行者的数据,我们估计在2012年9月至2016年1月期间,该地区发生了3250例(95%置信区间为1300 - 6600)中东呼吸综合征重症病例。这一数字比这些国家记录的实验室确诊病例数高出2.3倍。