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通过玉米带流域土壤有机碳固存实现气候变化缓解潜力的分析

An Analysis of the Climate Change Mitigation Potential through Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration in a Corn Belt Watershed.

作者信息

Bhattarai Mukesh Dev, Secchi Silvia, Schoof Justin

机构信息

Southern Illinois University Carbondale, Illinois, USA.

出版信息

Environ Manage. 2017 Jan;59(1):77-86. doi: 10.1007/s00267-016-0771-6. Epub 2016 Oct 11.

DOI:10.1007/s00267-016-0771-6
PMID:27730286
Abstract

Land-based carbon sequestration constitutes a major low cost and immediately viable option in climate change mitigation. Using downscaled data from eight atmosphere-ocean general circulation models for a simulation period between 2015 and 2099, we examine the carbon sequestration potential of alternative agricultural land uses in an intensively farmed Corn Belt watershed and the impact of climate change on crop yields. Our results show that switching from conventional tillage continuous corn to no-till corn-soybean can sequester the equivalent of 192.1 MtCO eq of soil organic carbon per hectare with a sequestration rate of 2.26 MtCO eq ha yr. Our results also indicate that switchgrass can sequester the equivalent of 310.7 MtCO eq of soil organic carbon per hectare with a sequestration rate of 3.65 MtCO eq ha yr. Our findings suggest that, unlike for corn and soybean yields, climate change does not have a significant effect on switchgrass yields, possibly due to the carbon fertilization effect.

摘要

陆地碳封存是缓解气候变化的一种主要低成本且立即可行的选择。利用八个大气 - 海洋通用环流模型的降尺度数据,对2015年至2099年的模拟期进行研究,我们考察了集约化种植的玉米带流域替代农业土地利用方式的碳封存潜力以及气候变化对作物产量的影响。我们的结果表明,从传统耕作的连作玉米转换为免耕玉米 - 大豆,每公顷可封存相当于192.1 MtCO₂当量的土壤有机碳,封存速率为2.26 MtCO₂当量/公顷·年。我们的结果还表明,柳枝稷每公顷可封存相当于310.7 MtCO₂当量的土壤有机碳,封存速率为3.65 MtCO₂当量/公顷·年。我们的研究结果表明,与玉米和大豆产量不同,气候变化对柳枝稷产量没有显著影响,这可能是由于碳施肥效应。

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An Analysis of the Climate Change Mitigation Potential through Soil Organic Carbon Sequestration in a Corn Belt Watershed.通过玉米带流域土壤有机碳固存实现气候变化缓解潜力的分析
Environ Manage. 2017 Jan;59(1):77-86. doi: 10.1007/s00267-016-0771-6. Epub 2016 Oct 11.
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本文引用的文献

1
Modeling Agricultural Watersheds with the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT): Calibration and Validation with a Novel Procedure for Spatially Explicit HRUs.使用土壤和水资源评估工具(SWAT)对农业流域进行建模:采用一种用于空间明确水文响应单元的新程序进行校准和验证。
Environ Manage. 2016 Apr;57(4):894-911. doi: 10.1007/s00267-015-0636-4. Epub 2015 Nov 30.
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The next generation of scenarios for climate change research and assessment.气候变化研究与评估的新一代情景。
Nature. 2010 Feb 11;463(7282):747-56. doi: 10.1038/nature08823.
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EPIC modeling of soil organic carbon sequestration in croplands of Iowa.
爱荷华州农田土壤有机碳固存的EPIC模型
J Environ Qual. 2008 Jun 23;37(4):1345-53. doi: 10.2134/jeq2007.0277. Print 2008 Jul-Aug.
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Adapting agriculture to climate change.使农业适应气候变化。
Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A. 2007 Dec 11;104(50):19691-6. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0701890104. Epub 2007 Dec 6.
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Carbon sequestration.碳封存
Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci. 2008 Feb 27;363(1492):815-30. doi: 10.1098/rstb.2007.2185.
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Crop responses to climatic variation.作物对气候变化的响应。
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