Pulikottil-Jacob Ruth, Connock Martin, Kandala Ngianga-Bakwin, Mistry Hema, Grove Amy, Freeman Karoline, Costa Matthew, Sutcliffe Paul, Clarke Aileen
Warwick Evidence, Division of Health Sciences, Warwick Medical School, University of Warwick, Coventry, United Kingdom.
Northumbria University, Department of Mathematics, Physics and Electrical Engineering, Faculty of Engineering and Environment, Newcastle upon Tyne, United Kingdom.
PLoS One. 2016 Nov 1;11(11):e0165021. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0165021. eCollection 2016.
Total hip replacement for end stage arthritis of the hip is currently the most common elective surgical procedure. In 2007 about 7.5% of UK implants were metal-on-metal joint resurfacing (MoM RS) procedures. Due to poor revision performance and concerns about metal debris, the use of RS had declined by 2012 to about a 1% share of UK hip procedures. This study estimated the lifetime cost-effectiveness of metal-on-metal resurfacing (RS) procedures versus commonly employed total hip replacement (THR) methods.
METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS: We performed a cost-utility analysis using a well-established multi-state semi-Markov model from an NHS and personal and social services perspective. We used individual patient data (IPD) from the National Joint Registry (NJR) for England and Wales on RS and THR surgery for osteoarthritis recorded from April 2003 to December 2012. We used flexible parametric modelling of NJR RS data to guide identification of patient subgroups and RS devices which delivered revision rates within the NICE 5% revision rate benchmark at 10 years. RS procedures overall have an estimated revision rate of 13% at 10 years, compared to <4% for most THR devices. New NICE guidance now recommends a revision rate benchmark of <5% at 10 years. 60% of RS implants in men and 2% in women were predicted to be within the revision benchmark. RS devices satisfying the 5% benchmark were unlikely to be cost-effective compared to THR at a standard UK willingness to pay of £20,000 per quality-adjusted life-year. However, the probability of cost effectiveness was sensitive to small changes in the costs of devices or in quality of life or revision rate estimates.
CONCLUSION/SIGNIFICANCE: Our results imply that in most cases RS has not been a cost-effective resource and should probably not be adopted by decision makers concerned with the cost effectiveness of hip replacement, or by patients concerned about the likelihood of revision, regardless of patient age or gender.
全髋关节置换术目前是治疗终末期髋关节炎最常见的择期外科手术。2007年,在英国植入物中,约7.5%为金属对金属关节表面置换(MoM RS)手术。由于翻修效果不佳以及对金属碎屑的担忧,到2012年,RS手术的使用比例已降至英国髋关节手术的约1%。本研究估计了金属对金属表面置换(RS)手术与常用的全髋关节置换(THR)方法相比的终生成本效益。
方法/主要发现:我们从英国国家医疗服务体系(NHS)以及个人和社会服务的角度,使用一个成熟的多状态半马尔可夫模型进行了成本效用分析。我们使用了来自英格兰和威尔士国家关节注册中心(NJR)的个体患者数据(IPD),这些数据记录了2003年4月至2012年12月期间因骨关节炎进行的RS和THR手术情况。我们对NJR的RS数据进行灵活的参数建模,以指导识别在10年时翻修率在英国国家卫生与临床优化研究所(NICE)5%翻修率基准范围内的患者亚组和RS装置。RS手术总体在10年时的估计翻修率为13%,而大多数THR装置的翻修率小于4%。新的NICE指南现在建议10年时的翻修率基准小于5%。预计男性中60%的RS植入物和女性中2%的RS植入物在翻修基准范围内。与THR相比,在英国每质量调整生命年20,000英镑的标准支付意愿下,满足5%基准的RS装置不太可能具有成本效益。然而,成本效益的概率对装置成本、生活质量或翻修率估计的微小变化敏感。
结论/意义:我们的结果表明,在大多数情况下,RS并非具有成本效益的资源,关注髋关节置换成本效益的决策者或担心翻修可能性的患者,无论患者年龄或性别如何,可能都不应采用RS。