van Griensven G J, de Vroome E M, Goudsmit J, Coutinho R A
Ned Tijdschr Geneeskd. 1989 Apr 22;133(16):828-30.
Prevalence and incidence of HIV were studied in two cohorts of homosexual men in Amsterdam between 1980 and 1987. The cumulative incidence of HIV infection increased from a weighted 2.2% in 1980 to 39% in 1987. In that year the observed incidence was less than 1%. The estimated annual HIV incidence was 3% in 1981, rose to 8.8% in 1984 and decreased gradually to 0% in 1987. This decline was assumed to be linked to a strong reduction of high risk sexual behaviour among the men under study.
1980年至1987年间,对阿姆斯特丹两组同性恋男性人群中的艾滋病毒流行率和发病率进行了研究。艾滋病毒感染的累积发病率从1980年加权后的2.2%上升至1987年的39%。同年,观察到的发病率低于1%。估计的艾滋病毒年发病率在1981年为3%,1984年升至8.8%,并于1987年逐渐降至0%。据推测,这种下降与所研究男性中高危性行为的大幅减少有关。