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在卫生系统绩效评估中超越预期寿命:根据自我感知健康状况调整的预期寿命

Going beyond life expectancy in assessments of health systems' performance: life expectancy adjusted by perceived health status.

作者信息

Laranjeira Erika, Szrek Helena

机构信息

CEF.UP & Faculty of Economics and Management, Lusíada University, Rua Dr. Lopo de Carvalho, 4369-006, Porto, Portugal.

CEF.UP & Faculty of Economics, University of Porto, Rua Dr. Roberto Frias, 4200-464, Porto, Portugal.

出版信息

Int J Health Econ Manag. 2016 Jun;16(2):133-161. doi: 10.1007/s10754-015-9183-z. Epub 2016 Jan 19.

DOI:10.1007/s10754-015-9183-z
PMID:27878714
Abstract

International comparisons of health systems data have been used to guide health policy. Health systems performance is generally evaluated on how different factors contribute to mortality and longevity. Fewer studies scrutinize the factors that determine morbidity in different countries, partly because indicators that assess morbidity on a country level are not as widely available as mortality and longevity data. We introduce a new health status indicator able to combine mortality and morbidity in a single composite measure for each country and gender at a point in time (LEAPHS), yielding the average number of years that men (women) can expect to live in "good" (or better) health. Using the Sullivan method we combine the mortality risk, calculated for specific age and gender groups, with perceived health status for the same age and gender groups, and we estimate how medical care and various socio-economic, environmental and structural, lifestyle, and technological factors affect LEAPHS and life expectancy at birth for a large panel of thirty OECD countries. We find that some variables (alcohol consumption, urbanization) have a significant effect on both LEAPHS and life expectancy, while one variable (the number of hospitals) has a significant effect for both genders on life expectancy only. However, the effects of many other variables (health expenditure per capita, health expenditure per capita squared, GDP growth, and technology) were only significant predictors for LEAPHS. This leads us to conclude that LEAPHS is able to capture the impact of some health determinants not captured by life expectancy at birth. While we believe this new measure may be useful for health economists and statisticians doing cross-country analyses, further comparisons with other measures may be useful.

摘要

卫生系统数据的国际比较已被用于指导卫生政策。卫生系统绩效通常根据不同因素对死亡率和预期寿命的影响来评估。较少有研究仔细审查决定不同国家发病率的因素,部分原因是在国家层面评估发病率的指标不像死亡率和预期寿命数据那样广泛可得。我们引入了一种新的健康状况指标,能够在某一时刻为每个国家和性别将死亡率和发病率合并为一个单一的综合衡量指标(LEAPHS),即男性(女性)预期在“良好”(或更好)健康状态下生活的平均年数。我们使用沙利文方法,将针对特定年龄和性别群体计算的死亡风险与相同年龄和性别群体的自我感知健康状况相结合,并估计医疗保健以及各种社会经济、环境和结构、生活方式及技术因素如何影响经合组织30个国家的大型样本组的LEAPHS和出生时预期寿命。我们发现,一些变量(酒精消费、城市化)对LEAPHS和预期寿命都有显著影响,而一个变量(医院数量)仅对两性的预期寿命有显著影响。然而,许多其他变量(人均卫生支出、人均卫生支出的平方、GDP增长和技术)仅对LEAPHS是显著的预测指标。这使我们得出结论,LEAPHS能够捕捉出生时预期寿命未涵盖的一些健康决定因素的影响。虽然我们认为这一新指标可能对进行跨国分析的卫生经济学家和统计学家有用,但与其他指标进行进一步比较可能也会有所帮助。

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