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气候、移民与当地粮食安全背景:引入“大地之民”。

Climate, migration, and the local food security context: Introducing Terra Populus.

作者信息

Nawrotzki Raphael J, Schlak Allison M, Kugler Tracy A

机构信息

University of Minnesota, Minnesota Population Center, 225 19th Avenue South, 50 Willey Hall, Minneapolis, MN 55455, U.S.A.

出版信息

Popul Environ. 2016 Dec;38(2):164-184. doi: 10.1007/s11111-016-0260-0. Epub 2016 Jun 11.

Abstract

Studies investigating the connection between environmental factors and migration are difficult to execute because they require the integration of microdata and spatial information. In this article, we introduce the novel, publically available data extraction system Terra Populus (TerraPop), which was designed to facilitate population-environment studies. We showcase the use of TerraPop by exploring variations in the climate-migration association in Burkina Faso and Senegal based on differences in the local food security context. Food security was approximated using anthropometric indicators of child stunting and wasting derived from Demographic and Health Surveys (DHS) and linked to the TerraPop extract of climate and migration information. We find that an increase in heat waves was associated with a decrease in international migration from Burkina Faso, while excessive precipitation increased international moves from Senegal. Significant interactions reveal that the adverse effects of heat waves and droughts are strongly amplified in highly food insecure Senegalese departments.

摘要

研究环境因素与移民之间的联系很难开展,因为这需要整合微观数据和空间信息。在本文中,我们介绍了新颖的、公开可用的数据提取系统“Terra Populus”(TerraPop),其旨在推动人口与环境研究。我们通过基于当地粮食安全背景差异,探究布基纳法索和塞内加尔气候与移民关联的变化,展示了TerraPop的用途。粮食安全是利用从人口与健康调查(DHS)得出的儿童发育迟缓及消瘦的人体测量指标来估算的,并与气候和移民信息的TerraPop提取物相关联。我们发现,热浪增加与布基纳法索国际移民减少相关,而降水过多则增加了来自塞内加尔的国际移民。显著的相互作用表明,热浪和干旱的不利影响在粮食极不安全的塞内加尔各部门中被强烈放大。

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本文引用的文献

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The Environmental Dimensions of Migration.移民的环境因素
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6
Climate Change as Migration Driver from Rural and Urban Mexico.气候变化成为墨西哥城乡人口迁移的驱动因素。
Environ Res Lett. 2015 Nov;10(11). doi: 10.1088/1748-9326/10/11/114023. Epub 2015 Nov 23.
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Anthropogenic warming has increased drought risk in California.人为变暖增加了加利福尼亚州的干旱风险。
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