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本文引用的文献

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Closing the global immunization gap: delivery of lifesaving vaccines through innovation and technology.
Pediatr Rev. 2014 Jul;35(7):e32-40. doi: 10.1542/pir.35-7-e32.
2
Global health 2035: a world converging within a generation.《2035年全球健康:一代人时间内的世界融合》
Lancet. 2013 Dec 7;382(9908):1898-955. doi: 10.1016/S0140-6736(13)62105-4. Epub 2013 Dec 3.
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The global distribution and burden of dengue.登革热的全球分布和负担。
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Impact of the serogroup A meningococcal conjugate vaccine, MenAfriVac, on carriage and herd immunity.A 群脑膜炎球菌结合疫苗(MenAfriVac)对带菌和群体免疫的影响。
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The key role of vaccine vial monitors in routine and mass immunisation.疫苗瓶监测器在常规免疫和大规模免疫中的关键作用。
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Potential effect of population and climate changes on global distribution of dengue fever: an empirical model.人口与气候变化对登革热全球分布的潜在影响:一个实证模型
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在全球卫生大融合时代,哪些驱动因素将影响全球免疫接种?

What drivers will influence global immunizations in the era of grand convergence in global health?

作者信息

Levine Orin S

机构信息

Vaccine Delivery Program, Global Development Division, Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, 500 Fifth Avenue North, Seattle, WA 98109, United States.

出版信息

Vaccine. 2017 Jan 20;35 Suppl 1(Suppl 1):A6-A9. doi: 10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.09.071. Epub 2016 Dec 22.

DOI:10.1016/j.vaccine.2016.09.071
PMID:28017439
原文链接:https://pmc.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/articles/PMC5418365/
Abstract

Recent projections suggest that by 2035 global health will look dramatically different than it does today. In what's called a 'grand convergence' the world is likely to be characterized by far more similarities than differences in the prevailing health and medical problems across populations. This manuscript considers how key drivers for vaccine use and uptake might change as a result of the grand convergence and how decisions taken now might anticipate those changes in ways that position immunizations to continue playing an important role in the future.

摘要

近期预测表明,到2035年全球健康状况将与如今大不相同。在所谓的“大趋同”中,全球人口在主要健康和医疗问题上的相似之处可能会远多于差异。本论文探讨了疫苗使用和接种的关键驱动因素可能会因大趋同而发生怎样的变化,以及现在做出的决策如何以某种方式预见这些变化,从而使免疫接种在未来继续发挥重要作用。