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东亚人群皮肤黑色素瘤死亡率的趋势。

Trends in mortality rates of cutaneous melanoma in East Asian populations.

作者信息

Chen Ling, Jin Shaofei

机构信息

Zhongshan School of Medicine, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, China; Immunotherapy Institutes, Fujian Medical University, Fuzhou, China.

Northeast Institute of Geography and Agroecology, Chinese Academy of Sciences , Changchun , China.

出版信息

PeerJ. 2016 Dec 22;4:e2809. doi: 10.7717/peerj.2809. eCollection 2016.

Abstract

The incidence of cutaneous melanoma (CM) has rapidly increased over the past four decades. CM is often overlooked in East Asian populations due to its low incidence, despite East Asia making up 22% of the world's population. Since the 1990s, Caucasian populations have seen a plateau in CM mortality rates; however, there is little data investigating the mortality rates of CM in East Asian populations. In this study, the World Health Organization Mortality Database with the joinpoint regression method, and a generalized additive model were used to investigate trends in age standardized mortality rates (ASMRs) of CM in four East Asia regions (Japan, Republic of Korea (Korea), China: Hong Kong (Hong Kong), and Singapore) over the past six decades. In addition, mortality rate ratios by different variables (i.e., sex, age group, and region) were analyzed. Our results showed ASMRs of CM in East Asia significantly increased non-linearly over the past six decades. The joinpoint regression method indicated women had greater annual percentage changes than men in Japan, Korea, and Hong Kong. Men had significantly greater mortality rate ratio (1.51, 95% CI [1.48-1.54]) than women. Mortality rate ratios in 30-59 and 60+ years were significant greater than in the 0-29 years. Compared to Hong Kong, mortality rate ratio was 0.72 (95% CI [0.70-0.74]) times, 0.73 (95% CI [0.70-0.75]) times, and 1.02 (95% CI [1.00-1.05]) times greater in Japan, Korea, and Singapore, respectively. Although there is limited research investigating CM mortality rates in East Asia, results from the present study indicate that there is a significant growth in the ASMRs of CM in East Asian populations, highlighting a need to raise awareness of CM in the general population.

摘要

在过去的四十年中,皮肤黑色素瘤(CM)的发病率迅速上升。尽管东亚地区占世界人口的22%,但由于其发病率较低,CM在东亚人群中常常被忽视。自20世纪90年代以来,白种人群的CM死亡率趋于平稳;然而,关于东亚人群CM死亡率的研究数据很少。在本研究中,利用世界卫生组织死亡率数据库、连接点回归方法和广义相加模型,调查了过去六十年来东亚四个地区(日本、大韩民国(韩国)、中国香港和新加坡)CM年龄标准化死亡率(ASMR)的趋势。此外,还分析了不同变量(即性别、年龄组和地区)的死亡率比。我们的结果显示,在过去六十年中,东亚地区CM的ASMR呈显著的非线性增长。连接点回归方法表明,在日本、韩国和香港,女性的年百分比变化大于男性。男性的死亡率比(1.51,95%可信区间[1.48 - 1.54])显著高于女性。30 - 59岁和60岁以上人群的死亡率比显著高于0 - 29岁人群。与香港相比,日本、韩国和新加坡的死亡率比分别高出0.72倍(95%可信区间[0.70 - 0.74])、0.73倍(95%可信区间[0.70 - 0.75])和1.02倍(95%可信区间[1.00 - 1.05])。尽管对东亚地区CM死亡率的研究有限,但本研究结果表明,东亚人群CM的ASMR有显著增长,凸显了提高普通人群对CM认识的必要性。

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