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快速序贯器官衰竭评估评分作为发热性中性粒细胞减少症患者脓毒症、死亡率及重症监护病房入住情况筛查工具的预测性能。

Predictive performance of the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment score as a screening tool for sepsis, mortality, and intensive care unit admission in patients with febrile neutropenia.

作者信息

Kim Minsoo, Ahn Shin, Kim Won Young, Sohn Chang Hwan, Seo Dong Woo, Lee Yoon-Seon, Lim Kyung Soo

机构信息

College of Medicine, Cancer Emergency Room, Department of Emergency Medicine, Asan Medical Center, University of Ulsan, 388-1, Pungnap-dong, Songpa-gu, Seoul, 138-736, South Korea.

出版信息

Support Care Cancer. 2017 May;25(5):1557-1562. doi: 10.1007/s00520-016-3567-6. Epub 2017 Jan 6.

DOI:10.1007/s00520-016-3567-6
PMID:28062972
Abstract

PURPOSE

In Sepsis-3, the quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) score was developed as criteria to use for recognizing patients who may have poor outcomes. This study was performed to evaluate the predictive performance of the qSOFA score as a screening tool for sepsis, mortality, and intensive care unit (ICU) admission in patients with febrile neutropenia (FN). We also tried to compare its performance with that of the systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria and Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer (MASCC) score for FN.

METHODS

We used a prospectively collected adult FN data registry. The qSOFA and SIRS scores were calculated retrospectively using the preexisting data. The primary outcome was the development of sepsis. The secondary outcomes were ICU admission and 28-day mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 615 patients, 100 developed sepsis, 20 died, and 38 were admitted to ICUs. In multivariate analysis, qSOFA was an independent factor predicting sepsis and ICU admission. However, compared to the MASCC score, the area under the receiver operating curve of qSOFA was lower. qSOFA showed a low sensitivity (0.14, 0.2, and 0.23) but high specificity (0.98, 0.97, and 0.97) in predicting sepsis, 28-day mortality, and ICU admission.

CONCLUSIONS

Performance of the qSOFA score was inferior to that of the MASCC score. The preexisting risk stratification tool is more useful for predicting outcomes in patients with FN.

摘要

目的

在脓毒症-3中,快速序贯器官衰竭评估(qSOFA)评分被开发用作识别可能预后不良患者的标准。本研究旨在评估qSOFA评分作为发热性中性粒细胞减少症(FN)患者脓毒症、死亡率及重症监护病房(ICU)入住情况筛查工具的预测性能。我们还试图将其性能与FN的全身炎症反应综合征(SIRS)标准及多国癌症支持治疗协会(MASCC)评分进行比较。

方法

我们使用了前瞻性收集的成人FN数据登记库。qSOFA和SIRS评分通过既往数据进行回顾性计算。主要结局为脓毒症的发生。次要结局为ICU入住及28天死亡率。

结果

615例患者中,100例发生脓毒症,20例死亡,38例入住ICU。多因素分析中,qSOFA是预测脓毒症及ICU入住的独立因素。然而,与MASCC评分相比,qSOFA的受试者工作特征曲线下面积更低。qSOFA在预测脓毒症、28天死亡率及ICU入住方面敏感性较低(分别为0.14、0.2和0.23)但特异性较高(分别为0.98、0.97和0.97)。

结论

qSOFA评分的性能不如MASCC评分。现有的风险分层工具在预测FN患者结局方面更有用。

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