Evans R G, Barer M L, Hertzman C, Anderson G M, Pulcins I R, Lomas J
Division of Health Services Research and Development, University of British Columbia, Vancouver.
Health Serv Res. 1989 Oct;24(4):435-59.
Much is made of the "threat" an aging population poses to North American health care systems. In this article, we present hospital utilization data from British Columbia over the period 1969-1985, which reinforce our earlier (Barer, Evans, Hertzman, et al. 1987) conclusion: it is not aging per se that poses the threat; rather, it is what we are choosing (through our health care system) to do to and with our elderly. In 1969, British Columbia hospital patients over 65 years of age and staying longer than 60 days accounted for 12.5 percent of all days; by 1985/86, they were accounting for 39 percent. Furthermore, in 1985/86, 1 patient in 200 was using one-quarter of all patient days and dying at the end of the process, and 2 patients in 100 (who stayed over 60 days whether discharged alive or dead) were accounting for almost one-half of all days.
老龄化人口对北美医疗保健系统构成的“威胁”常被大肆渲染。在本文中,我们展示了1969年至1985年期间不列颠哥伦比亚省的医院使用数据,这些数据强化了我们之前(巴雷、埃文斯、赫茨曼等人,1987年)的结论:构成威胁的并非老龄化本身;而是我们(通过医疗保健系统)选择对老年人所做的事情以及如何对待他们。1969年,不列颠哥伦比亚省65岁以上且住院时间超过60天的医院患者占总住院天数的12.5%;到1985/1986年,这一比例为39%。此外,在1985/1986年,每200名患者中有1名患者占用了四分之一的总住院天数,并且在治疗过程结束时死亡,每100名患者中有2名患者(无论出院时是活着还是死亡,住院时间均超过60天)占用了几乎一半的总住院天数。