Karcher M, Hosseini A, Schnur R, Kauker F, Brown J E, Dowdall M, Strand P
O.A.Sys - Ocean Atmosphere Systems GmbH, Tewessteg 4, 20249 Hamburg, Germany; Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany.
Norwegian Radiation Protection Authority, PO Box 55, N-1332 Østerås, Norway.
Mar Pollut Bull. 2017 Mar 15;116(1-2):385-394. doi: 10.1016/j.marpolbul.2017.01.034. Epub 2017 Jan 22.
Of the wide variety of dumped objects containing radioactive materials in the Arctic seas, the submarine K-27 constitutes a major risk due to the large amount of highly enriched uranium onboard and its location in shallow waters. As the matter of potential operations involving raising of the submarine have entered the public arena, a priori assessment of the contamination in the Arctic marine environment that could result after a possible accident during such operations is a matter of some interest. The dispersion of contaminants within the Arctic has been assessed using a large scale hydrodynamic model for a series of plausible accident scenarios and locations under different oceanographic regimes. Results indicate that, depending primarily on the nature of a release (i.e. instantaneous or continuous), large areas of the Arctic marine environment will exhibit contamination to varying degrees.
在北极海域倾倒的各种含有放射性物质的物体中,K - 27潜艇构成了重大风险,这是因为艇上载有大量高浓缩铀且位于浅水区。由于涉及打捞该潜艇的潜在行动事宜已进入公众视野,对这类行动期间可能发生的事故之后北极海洋环境中可能产生的污染进行事前评估就颇具意义。已使用一个大规模水动力模型针对一系列在不同海洋学条件下的似真实事故场景和地点评估了北极地区污染物的扩散情况。结果表明,主要取决于释放的性质(即瞬间释放或持续释放),北极海洋环境的大片区域将呈现出不同程度的污染。