Violence Prevention Research Program, Department of Emergency Medicine, School of Medicine, University of California, Davis, Sacramento, CA, USA.
Inj Prev. 2018 Feb;24(1):68-72. doi: 10.1136/injuryprev-2016-042181. Epub 2017 Jan 30.
Firearm violence frequently involves alcohol, but there are no studies of misuse of alcohol and risk for future violence among firearm owners. We examined the association between prior convictions for alcohol-related crimes, chiefly driving under the influence (DUI), and risk of subsequent arrest among 4066 individuals who purchased handguns in California in 1977. During follow-up through 1991, 32.8% of those with prior alcohol-related convictions and 5.7% of those with no prior criminal history were arrested for a violent or firearm-related crime; 15.9% and 2.7%, respectively, were arrested for murder, rape, robbery or aggravated assault. Prior alcohol-related convictions were associated with a fourfold to fivefold increase in risk of incident arrest for a violent or firearm-related crime, a relative increase greater than that seen for age, sex or prior violence. Prior convictions for alcohol-related crime may be an important predictor of risk for future criminal activity among purchasers of firearms.
枪支暴力经常涉及酒精,但目前还没有研究滥用酒精与枪支拥有者未来暴力风险之间的关系。我们研究了在 1977 年加利福尼亚州购买手枪的 4066 个人中,先前因与酒精相关的犯罪(主要是酒后驾车)被定罪与随后被捕的风险之间的关联。在 1991 年之前的随访期间,有先前酒精相关犯罪记录的人中 32.8%因暴力或枪支相关犯罪被捕;而没有犯罪记录的人中,分别为 5.7%和 2.7%因谋杀、强奸、抢劫或严重攻击而被捕。先前与酒精相关的定罪与暴力或枪支相关犯罪的事件性逮捕风险增加了四倍至五倍相关,相对增加幅度大于年龄、性别或先前暴力的影响。与酒精相关的犯罪定罪可能是枪支购买者未来犯罪活动风险的一个重要预测因素。