Wintemute G J, Drake C M, Beaumont J J, Wright M A, Parham C A
Violence Prevention Research Program, University of California, Davis, USA.
JAMA. 1998;280(24):2083-7. doi: 10.1001/jama.280.24.2083.
Under current federal law, many persons with prior convictions for misdemeanor offenses pass criminal records background checks and legally purchase handguns.
To determine whether authorized handgun purchasers with prior misdemeanor convictions are more likely than those with no criminal history to be charged with new crimes, particularly offenses involving firearms and violence.
Retrospective cohort study.
A total of 5923 authorized purchasers of handguns in California in 1977 who were younger than 50 years, identified by random sample.
Incidence and relative risk (RR) of first charges for new criminal offenses after handgun purchase.
Of the 5923 authorized purchasers, 3128 had at least 1 conviction for a misdemeanor offense prior to handgun purchase, and 2795 had no prior criminal history. Follow-up to the end of the 15-year observation period or to death was available for 77.8% of study subjects and for a median 8.9 years for another 9.6%. Handgun purchasers with at least 1 prior misdemeanor conviction were more than 7 times as likely as those with no prior criminal history to be charged with a new offense after handgun purchase (RR, 7.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 6.6-8.7). Among men, those with 2 or more prior convictions for misdemeanor violence were at greatest risk for nonviolent firearm-related offenses such as weapon carrying (RR, 11.7; 95% CI, 6.8-20.0), violent offenses generally (RR, 10.4; 95% CI, 6.9-15.8), and Violent Crime Index offenses (murder or non-negligent manslaughter, forcible rape, robbery, or aggravated assault) (RR, 15.1; 95% CI, 9.4-24.3). However, even handgun purchasers with only 1 prior misdemeanor conviction and no convictions for offenses involving firearms or violence were nearly 5 times as likely as those with no prior criminal history to be charged with new offenses involving firearms or violence.
Handgun purchasers with prior misdemeanor convictions are at increased risk for future criminal activity, including violent and firearm-related crimes.
根据现行联邦法律,许多曾有轻罪前科的人通过了犯罪记录背景审查并合法购买了手枪。
确定有轻罪前科的授权手枪购买者比没有犯罪记录的人更有可能被指控犯新罪,特别是涉及枪支和暴力的罪行。
回顾性队列研究。
1977年在加利福尼亚州随机抽取的5923名年龄小于50岁的授权手枪购买者。
购买手枪后首次被指控犯新刑事罪的发生率和相对风险(RR)。
在5923名授权购买者中,3128人在购买手枪前至少有1次轻罪定罪,2795人没有犯罪前科。77.8%的研究对象随访至15年观察期结束或死亡,另有9.6%的研究对象随访时间中位数为8.9年。有至少1次轻罪前科的手枪购买者在购买手枪后被指控犯新罪的可能性是没有犯罪前科者的7倍多(RR,7.5;95%置信区间[CI],6.6 - 8.7)。在男性中,有2次或更多次轻罪暴力前科的人面临非暴力枪支相关犯罪(如携带武器)(RR,11.7;95% CI,6.8 - 20.0)、一般暴力犯罪(RR,10.4;95% CI,6.9 - 15.8)以及暴力犯罪指数犯罪(谋杀或非过失杀人、强奸、抢劫或严重攻击)(RR,15.1;95% CI,9.4 - 24.3)的风险最大。然而,即使是只有1次轻罪前科且没有涉及枪支或暴力犯罪定罪的手枪购买者,被指控犯涉及枪支或暴力新罪的可能性也几乎是没有犯罪前科者的5倍。
有轻罪前科的手枪购买者未来从事犯罪活动的风险增加,包括暴力犯罪和与枪支相关的犯罪。