Espinoza Echeverria Jorge, Rodriguez Antonio Nogales, Cortez Mirko Rojas, Diotaiuti Liléia Gonçalves, Gorla David E
Laboratório de Referência Triatomíneos e Epidemiologia da Doença de Chagas, Centro de Pesquisas René Rachou, FIOCRUZ- MG, Belo Horizonte, Brazil.
Servicio Departamental de Salud - Potosi, Programa Nacional de Chagas, Potosi, Bolivia.
Parasit Vectors. 2017 Feb 2;10(1):58. doi: 10.1186/s13071-017-1984-0.
Triatoma infestans is the main vector of Trypanosoma cruzi in Bolivia. The species is present both in domestic and peridomestic structures of rural areas, and in wild ecotopes of the Andean valleys and the Great Chaco. The identification of areas persistently showing low and high house infestation by the vector is important for the management of vector control programs. This study aimed at analyzing the temporal and spatial distribution of house infestation by T. infestans in the Toro Toro municipality (Potosi, Bolivia) between 2009 and 2014, and its association with environmental variables.
House infestation and T. infestans density were calculated from entomological surveys of houses in the study area, using a fixed-time effort sampling technique. The spatial heterogeneity of house infestation was evaluated using the SatScan statistic. Association between house infestation with Bioclim variables (Worldclim database) and altitude was analyzed using a generalized linear model (GLM) with a logit link. Model selection was based on the Akaike information criteria after eliminating collinearity between variables using the variable inflation factor. The final model was used to create a probability map of house infestation for the Toro Toro municipality.
A total of 73 communities and 16,489 house evaluation events were analyzed. Presence of T. infestans was recorded on 480 house evaluation events, giving an overall annual infestation of 2.9% during the studied period (range 1.5-5.4% in 2009 and 2012). Vector density remained at about 1.25 insects/ house. Infestation was highly aggregated in five clusters, including 11 communities. Relative risk of infestation within these clusters was 1.7-3.9 times the value for the regional average. Four environmental variables were identified as good descriptors of house infestation, explaining 57% of house infestation variability. The model allowed the estimation of a house infestation surface for the Toro Toro municipality.
This study shows that residual and persistent populations of T. infestans maintain low house infestation, representing a potential risk for the transmission of T. cruzi in these communities, and it is possible to stratify house infestation using EV, and produce a risk map to guide the activities of vector control interventions in the municipality of Toro Toro (Potosi, Bolivia).
在玻利维亚,骚扰锥猎蝽是克氏锥虫的主要传播媒介。该物种存在于农村地区的家庭和周边建筑中,以及安第斯山谷和大查科地区的野生生态环境中。识别媒介持续造成房屋低感染率和高感染率的区域对于媒介控制项目的管理至关重要。本研究旨在分析2009年至2014年期间托罗托罗市(玻利维亚波托西省)骚扰锥猎蝽造成的房屋感染的时间和空间分布,及其与环境变量的关联。
采用固定时间工作量抽样技术,根据对研究区域房屋的昆虫学调查计算房屋感染率和骚扰锥猎蝽密度。使用SatScan统计量评估房屋感染的空间异质性。使用具有logit链接的广义线性模型(GLM)分析房屋感染与生物气候变量(Worldclim数据库)和海拔之间的关联。在使用变量膨胀因子消除变量间共线性后,基于赤池信息准则进行模型选择。最终模型用于创建托罗托罗市房屋感染概率图。
共分析了73个社区的16489次房屋评估事件。在480次房屋评估事件中记录到骚扰锥猎蝽的存在,研究期间总体年感染率为2.9%(2009年和2012年范围为1.5%-5.4%)。媒介密度保持在约1.25只昆虫/房屋。感染高度聚集在五个集群中,包括11个社区。这些集群内的感染相对风险是区域平均值的1.7-3.9倍。确定了四个环境变量为房屋感染的良好描述指标,解释了57%的房屋感染变异性。该模型能够估算托罗托罗市的房屋感染情况。
本研究表明,骚扰锥猎蝽的残留和持续种群导致房屋感染率较低,这在这些社区中代表了克氏锥虫传播的潜在风险,并且可以使用环境变量对房屋感染进行分层,并生成风险图以指导托罗托罗市(玻利维亚波托西省)的媒介控制干预活动。