Kirkbride James B, Hameed Y, Wright L, Russell K, Knight C, Perez J, Jones P B
PsyLife Group, Division of Psychiatry, UCL, 6th Floor Maple House, 149 Tottenham Court Road, London, W1T 7NF, UK.
Department of Psychiatry, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, CB2 0SZ, UK.
Soc Psychiatry Psychiatr Epidemiol. 2017 May;52(5):563-574. doi: 10.1007/s00127-017-1343-7. Epub 2017 Feb 18.
Early Intervention Psychosis [EIP] services have gained traction internationally, but are currently undergoing various forms of reconfiguration. In England, such services are now mandated to ensure 50% of accepted referrals commence care within 14 days, but no empirical evidence exists. We sought to estimate waiting times to EIP services in a large, representative epidemiological cohort in England, and investigate possible reasons for any variation.
We estimated median waiting time from referral to acceptance by EIP services and investigated whether this varied by clinical, demographic or neighbourhood-level factors, amongst 798 participants, 16-35 years old, presenting to six EIP services over 3.5 years in a defined catchment area serving 2.5 million people. We used parametric survival analysis to inspect variation in waiting times (in days).
Median waiting time was 15 days (interquartile range 7-30), although this varied across services (p < 0.01). Waiting times increased over the case ascertainment period by an average of 4.3 days (95% CI 1.3, 6.2; p < 0.01). Longer waiting times were associated with greater diagnostic uncertainty, indexed by an organic presentation (+ 9.1 days; 95% CI 1.9, 16.6; p < 0.01), polysubstance abuse (+ 2.6; 0.6, 3.9; p < 0.01), absence of psychotic disorder (+1.8; -0.1, 3.0; p = 0.05) and insidious onset (+1.8; -0.1, 3.0; p = 0.06). Waiting times did not vary by most demographic or neighbourhood-level characteristics.
EIP services operate close to new waiting time standards in England, with little systematic variation by sociodemographic position. However, waiting times increased over the study period, coinciding with substantial service reorganisation. Longer waiting times associated with greater diagnostic uncertainty highlight opportunities to reduce delays in certain clinical groups at initial referral.
早期干预精神病(EIP)服务在国际上已受到关注,但目前正经历各种形式的重新配置。在英国,此类服务现在被要求确保50% 的被接受转诊患者在14天内开始接受治疗,但尚无实证证据。我们试图估计英国一个大型、具有代表性的流行病学队列中接受EIP服务的等待时间,并调查出现任何差异的可能原因。
我们估计了从转诊到EIP服务接受的中位等待时间,并调查了这是否因临床、人口统计学或社区层面因素而有所不同,研究对象为798名年龄在16至35岁之间的参与者,他们在3.5年的时间里向服务于250万人的特定集水区内的六个EIP服务机构就诊。我们使用参数生存分析来检查等待时间(以天为单位)的差异。
中位等待时间为15天(四分位间距为7 - 30天),尽管各服务机构之间存在差异(p < 0.01)。在病例确诊期间,等待时间平均增加了4.3天(95% 置信区间为1.3, 6.2;p < 0.01)。等待时间较长与更大的诊断不确定性相关,表现为器质性表现(+9.1天;95% 置信区间为1.9, 16.6;p < 0.01)、多种物质滥用(+2.6;0.6, 3.9;p < 0.01)、无精神障碍(+1.8;-0.1, 3.0;p = 0.05)和隐匿性起病(+1.8;-0.1, 3.0;p = 0.06)。等待时间在大多数人口统计学或社区层面特征方面没有差异。
EIP服务的运作接近英国新的等待时间标准,社会人口统计学地位的系统性差异较小。然而,在研究期间等待时间有所增加,这与大规模的服务重组同时发生。与更大的诊断不确定性相关的较长等待时间凸显了减少某些临床组在初次转诊时延迟的机会。