Vamsidhar A, Rajasekhar D, Vanajakshamma V, Lakshmi A Y, Latheef K, Siva Sankara C, Obul Reddy G
Department of Cardiology, SVIMS, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh, India.
Department of Cardiology, SVIMS, Tirupati, Andhra Pradesh, India.
Indian Heart J. 2017 Jan-Feb;69(1):68-74. doi: 10.1016/j.ihj.2016.07.010. Epub 2016 Aug 1.
The aim of this study is to prospectively assess the diagnostic accuracy of pulmonary embolism severity index, echocardiogram, computed tomography pulmonary angiogram (CTPA), and N-terminal pro b-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) for predicting adverse events in acute pulmonary embolism patients.
Thirty consecutive acute pulmonary embolism patients were included in this study. Combined adverse events consisted of in-hospital death or use of escalation of care including cardiopulmonary resuscitation, mechanical ventilation, vasopressor therapy, or secondary thrombolysis during hospital stay.
The outcomes were met in 30% of patients. Qanadli index (a measure of clot burden on CTPA) and NT-proBNP were significantly higher in patients with adverse events than those without (p=0.005 and p=0.009, respectively). PESI had moderate positive correlation with right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) (r=0.449, p=0.013) but there was no significant difference in PESI between patients with and without adverse events (p=0.7). Receiver operating characteristic analysis indicated that Qanadli index was the best predictor of adverse events with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.807 (95% CI: 0.651-0.963) with a negative predictive value (NPV) of 100% and positive predictive value (PPV) of 47.4% at cut-off value of 19. Right ventricle to left ventricle ratio on CTPA was found to predict RVD with AUC of 0.94 (95% CI: 0.842-1.000), NPV (77.8%), and PPV (95.2%) at cut-off value at 1.15.
Qanadli index is more accurate predictor of adverse events than pulmonary embolism severity index, NT-proBNP, and RVD on echocardiogram and CTPA.
本研究旨在前瞻性评估肺栓塞严重指数、超声心动图、计算机断层扫描肺动脉造影(CTPA)以及N末端B型脑钠肽原(NT-proBNP)对预测急性肺栓塞患者不良事件的诊断准确性。
本研究纳入了30例连续的急性肺栓塞患者。合并不良事件包括住院期间死亡或采用强化治疗措施,如心肺复苏、机械通气、血管活性药物治疗或二次溶栓。
30%的患者出现了上述结局。不良事件患者的Qanadli指数(CTPA上血栓负荷的一种测量指标)和NT-proBNP显著高于未发生不良事件的患者(分别为p=0.005和p=0.009)。肺栓塞严重指数与右心室功能障碍(RVD)呈中度正相关(r=0.449,p=0.013),但发生和未发生不良事件的患者之间肺栓塞严重指数无显著差异(p=0.7)。受试者工作特征分析表明,Qanadli指数是不良事件的最佳预测指标,曲线下面积(AUC)为0.807(95%CI:0.651-0.963),在临界值为19时,阴性预测值(NPV)为100%,阳性预测值(PPV)为47.4%。CTPA上的右心室与左心室比值被发现可预测RVD,在临界值为1.15时,AUC为0.94(95%CI:0.842-1.000),NPV为77.8%,PPV为95.2%。
在超声心动图和CTPA上,Qanadli指数比肺栓塞严重指数、NT-proBNP和RVD更准确地预测不良事件。