Aggarwal Ashish, Dhandapani Sivashanmugam, Praneeth Kokkula, Sodhi Harsimrat Bir Singh, Pal Sudhir Singh, Gaudihalli Sachin, Khandelwal N, Mukherjee Kanchan K, Tewari M K, Gupta Sunil Kumar, Mathuriya S N
Department of Neurosurgery, Post Graduate Institute of Medical Education and Research (PGIMER), Chandigarh, India.
Department of Surgery, Gandhi Medical College, Bhopal, MP, India.
Neurosurg Rev. 2018 Jan;41(1):241-247. doi: 10.1007/s10143-017-0843-y. Epub 2017 Mar 15.
The comparative studies on grading in subarachnoid hemorrhage (SAH) had several limitations such as the unclear grading of Glasgow Coma Scale 15 with neurological deficits in World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS), and the inclusion of systemic disease in Hunt and Hess (H&H) scales. Their differential incremental impacts and optimum cut-off values for unfavourable outcome are unsettled. This is a prospective comparison of prognostic impacts of grading schemes to address these issues. SAH patients were assessed using WFNS, H&H (including systemic disease), modified H&H (sans systemic disease) and followed up with Glasgow Outcome Score (GOS) at 3 months. Their performance characteristics were analysed as incremental ordinal variables and different grading scale dichotomies using rank-order correlation, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, Youden's J and multivariate analyses. A total of 1016 patients were studied. As univariate incremental variable, H&H sans systemic disease had the best negative rank-order correlation coefficient (-0.453) with respect to lower GOS (p < 0.001). As univariate dichotomized category, WFNS grades 3-5 had the best performance index of 0.39 to suggest unfavourable GOS with a specificity of 89% and sensitivity of 51%. In multivariate incremental analysis, H&H sans systemic disease had the greatest adjusted incremental impact of 0.72 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54-0.91) against a lower GOS as compared to 0.6 (95% CI 0.45-0.74) and 0.55 (95% CI 0.42-0.68) for H&H and WFNS grades, respectively. In multivariate categorical analysis, H&H grades 4-5 sans systemic disease had the greatest impact on unfavourable GOS with an adjusted odds ratio of 6.06 (95% CI 3.94-9.32). To conclude, H&H grading sans systemic disease had the greatest impact on unfavourable GOS. Though systemic disease is an important prognostic factor, it should be considered distinctly from grading. Appropriate cut-off values suggesting unfavourable outcome for H&H and WFNS were 4-5 and 3-5, respectively, indicating the importance of neurological deficits in addition to level of consciousness.
蛛网膜下腔出血(SAH)分级的比较研究存在若干局限性,例如世界神经外科联合会(WFNS)中格拉斯哥昏迷量表评分为15分但伴有神经功能缺损的分级不明确,以及Hunt和Hess(H&H)量表纳入了全身性疾病。它们对不良预后的差异增量影响和最佳临界值尚未确定。这是一项关于分级方案预后影响的前瞻性比较研究,旨在解决这些问题。使用WFNS、H&H(包括全身性疾病)、改良H&H(不包括全身性疾病)对SAH患者进行评估,并在3个月时采用格拉斯哥预后评分(GOS)进行随访。将它们的性能特征作为增量有序变量和不同分级量表二分法进行分析,采用等级相关、敏感性、特异性、阳性预测值、阴性预测值、约登指数(Youden's J)和多变量分析。共研究了1016例患者。作为单变量增量变量,不包括全身性疾病的H&H与较低的GOS具有最佳的负等级相关系数(-0.453)(p<0.001)。作为单变量二分分类,WFNS 3 - 5级对不良GOS的表现指数最佳,为0.39,特异性为89%,敏感性为51%。在多变量增量分析中,与H&H和WFNS分级相比,不包括全身性疾病的H&H对较低GOS的调整增量影响最大,为0.72(95%置信区间(CI)0.54 - 0.91),而H&H和WFNS分级分别为0.6(95% CI 0.45 - 0.74)和0.55(95% CI 0.42 - 0.68)。在多变量分类分析中,不包括全身性疾病的H&H 4 - 5级对不良GOS的影响最大,调整后的优势比为6.06(95% CI 3.94 - 9.32)。总之,不包括全身性疾病的H&H分级对不良GOS的影响最大。虽然全身性疾病是一个重要的预后因素,但应与分级分开考虑。提示H&H和WFNS不良预后的合适临界值分别为4 - 5级和3 - 5级,这表明除意识水平外,神经功能缺损也很重要。